NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	73		Excitement	4.1 [607]		MVP	Terry Porter (MIA): +10.8%
Miami Heat	83		Comeback	1.0 [573]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -15.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Dudley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	13	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	14	50%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Childs	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	0.00	0.03	9	58%	-0.02	4	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Allan Houston	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.17	-0.03	-0.04	13	40%	0.01	6	-0.17	4	75%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.04	-0.03	8	69%	0.11	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	69%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	16	62%	0.11	5	-0.10	10	60%	-0.01
Dan Majerle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.03	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Askins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	5	39%	-0.05	4	-0.06	8	62%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	31.4	18.3	29.8	2.0	34.2	145.5
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +31.4%

MIA +9.1%

MIA +2.1%

MIA +5.5%

MIA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	16.8	17.0	15.8	86.9	96.5	99.6
season	16.0	16.6		97.0	101.3
opponent	16.7	16.6		96.8	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.5	18.4	14.3	16.4	16.8
MIA	15.8	17.6	18.5	16.3	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	28	29	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-16	22	15.9	17.3	-1.48	19.2	15.9	3.28
Chris Dudley	14	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-6	2	15.5	17.1	-1.61	14.1	17.6	-3.48
Patrick Ewing	68	69	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-10	10	16.7	17.4	-0.73	17.3	15.8	1.51
Charlie Ward	63	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-9	8	16.0	19.3	-3.32	15.6	21.7	-6.14
Chris Childs	37	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-1	-8	17.7	16.2	1.48	17.6	16.6	0.98
Marcus Camby	27	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	18.3	16.1	2.19	19.8	15.8	4.03
Larry Johnson	66	68	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	-1	-8	17.1	16.1	1.01	17.5	15.4	2.08
Allan Houston	74	76	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.17	-9	-1	-8	16.6	18.6	-1.99	16.9	17.8	-0.87
Latrell Sprewell	43	46	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.06	-15	5	-20	17.8	15.9	1.94	15.6	18.7	-3.11

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	69	65	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.25	9	1	8	15.4	23.8	-8.46	15.7	20.8	-5.10
Alonzo Mourning	81	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.23	8	2	6	17.3	12.6	4.71	17.2	9.7	7.45
Keith Askins	26	24	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	-2	14	15.7	17.6	-1.87	17.3	16.7	0.62
Clar. Weatherspoon	31	30	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	5	0	17.1	17.0	0.10	16.0	17.3	-1.37
Dan Majerle	68	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	3	4	17.3	16.1	1.17	17.2	15.5	1.66
Terry Porter	49	46	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.16	3	7	-4	17.7	16.1	1.63	16.6	17.1	-0.52
P.J. Brown	56	55	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.09	4	6	-2	17.2	16.8	0.36	17.3	15.9	1.40
Jamal Mashburn	50	52	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.06	2	8	-6	18.4	15.2	3.21	17.3	16.1	1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, DET 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
WAS 80, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,1	95.4%
WAS 94, DET 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.81,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,1	95.1%