NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	80		Excitement	4.8 [876]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +27.6%
Orlando Magic	89		Comeback	1.2 [1261]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -11.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.03	24	57%	0.18	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Etan Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.00	9	38%	-0.00	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Juan Dixon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	8	41%	0.01	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.02	17	34%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.13	0.12	-0.03	12	65%	0.28	0	0.00	10	80%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.04	-0.02	17	39%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	62%	0.07	5	-0.09	6	83%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	0.8	26.2	17.4	24.5	2.6	35.4	132.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +48.4%

ORL +1.5%

WAS -4.0%

ORL +4.6%

WAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ORL	NBA	WAS	ORL	NBA
this game	17.5	13.8	15.5	87.0	96.7	106.4
season	15.9	15.3		103.5	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.2		101.4	111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.5	21.4	16.2	15.0	17.5
ORL	13.1	11.3	15.1	15.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dominic McGuire	59	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.26	8	-17	25	15.8	20.5	-4.75	14.5	12.7	1.81
Juan Dixon	6	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-4	-1	18.5	17.4	1.10	7.6	14.4	-6.78
Darius Songaila	44	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-8	7	16.7	18.1	-1.38	12.0	15.6	-3.55
Mike James	70	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-8	7	16.1	21.7	-5.54	13.8	13.9	-0.09
Antawn Jamison	76	75	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.22	-1	-8	7	16.6	21.4	-4.73	14.1	12.9	1.17
Javaris Crittenton	22	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-1	-7	21.7	16.1	5.54	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Caron Butler	75	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-6	3	16.9	19.8	-2.82	14.2	12.3	1.94
Nick Young	30	31	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	2	-13	20.5	16.0	4.50	13.7	13.9	-0.14
Etan Thomas	33	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	2	-13	19.0	16.6	2.34	16.6	12.4	4.14
Andray Blatche	45	47	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	3	-15	19.4	15.6	3.78	13.2	14.5	-1.23

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	70	70	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	0	9	13.6	14.5	-0.93	16.8	19.5	-2.67
JJ Redick	34	31	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	0	9	13.0	14.3	-1.33	19.9	16.2	3.63
Dwight Howard	74	76	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	4	1	13.6	14.8	-1.24	16.8	20.7	-3.90
Tony Battie	51	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	9	-9	15.2	12.2	2.96	18.0	16.9	1.05
Anthony Johnson	26	26	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	1	7	14.2	13.7	0.50	20.3	16.3	3.96
Courtney Lee	53	56	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.02	9	0	9	13.6	14.2	-0.55	17.4	17.6	-0.28
Jameer Nelson	66	66	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	8	-7	13.7	14.2	-0.50	16.3	20.3	-3.96
Marcin Gortat	18	16	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	5	-1	14.8	13.6	1.24	20.7	16.8	3.90
Rashard Lewis	68	70	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.21	0	9	-9	13.7	14.3	-0.62	16.8	19.6	-2.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, DAL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.8%
IND 82, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.4%
NYK 73, MIA 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.77,0.8,0.68,0.81,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,1,1	95.4%