NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	89		Excitement	3.9 [1094]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +14.2%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	1.2 [1251]		LVP	Terrence Williams (NJN): -10.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.01	17	57%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kris Humphries	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Johan Petro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	12	42%	0.04	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.09	13	63%	0.05	3	-0.06	12	67%	-0.02
Troy Murphy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Damion James	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	8	37%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.01	0.02	10	87%	0.19	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	10	82%	0.13	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.03	-0.04	16	44%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	65%	0.09	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	-0.05	5	43%	0.05	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.0	26.1	16.7	29.1	2.3	31.3	130.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +49.0%

NJN -2.2%

NJN -5.3%

DAL +3.6%

DAL +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	15.5	94.7	108.5	105.7
season	16.4	15.7		101.6	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		103.8	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.7	15.6	14.7	13.5	15.1
DAL	16.0	14.4	16.0	15.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	17	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-6	-1	16.6	14.7	1.92	15.8	15.5	0.33
Johan Petro	21	21	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-9	5	14.9	15.1	-0.22	16.1	15.4	0.75
Troy Murphy	21	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-6	-1	17.0	14.5	2.42	15.6	15.5	0.11
Terrence Williams	50	50	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-10	7	15.2	15.0	0.23	15.7	15.4	0.38
Damion James	47	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	-5	-3	14.6	15.5	-0.87	15.1	16.0	-0.93
Jordan Farmar	66	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-9	5	14.3	16.8	-2.49	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Kris Humphries	68	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-9	5	14.6	16.2	-1.55	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Brook Lopez	73	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-9	-4	-5	15.1	14.9	0.22	15.4	16.1	-0.75
Travis Outlaw	31	33	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	-2	-9	16.7	14.3	2.44	17.2	14.7	2.49
Anthony Morrow	76	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	14.8	16.4	-1.63	15.3	16.7	-1.39

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	72	73	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	-1	15	15.9	14.6	1.27	14.8	16.1	-1.38
Shawn Marion	63	61	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.08	12	1	11	15.5	15.7	-0.27	15.2	14.8	0.35
Jose Juan Barea	55	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.09	11	2	9	15.5	15.7	-0.18	14.8	15.5	-0.69
Jason Terry	57	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	-1	15	16.2	14.6	1.60	15.1	15.0	0.16
Brendan Haywood	33	32	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	7	-1	16.9	14.8	2.12	16.4	14.4	1.97
Ian Mahinmi	17	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	10	-7	17.1	15.2	1.83	15.0	15.1	-0.09
Tyson Chandler	46	47	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	9	-5	13.9	17.1	-3.19	14.2	15.9	-1.68
Jason Kidd	50	51	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	13	-13	15.3	15.9	-0.56	15.2	14.9	0.27
Caron Butler	51	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	13	-13	15.3	15.8	-0.50	15.3	14.7	0.61
DeShawn Stevenson	26	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	12	-11	14.8	15.8	-0.99	15.3	15.0	0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.8,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
WAS 80, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,1	95.8%
MEM 82, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%