NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	3.7 [1119]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (CHA): +7.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	96		Comeback	1.2 [904]		LVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): -9.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Arthur	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Sam Young	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	0.00	17	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0.05	9	54%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.01
Mike Conley	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	17	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	16	35%	-0.05	3	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02
O.J. Mayo	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	8	22%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	0.01	-0.06	12	64%	0.12	5	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	63%	0.07	3	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	23	56%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	-0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	3	67%	0.04	3	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	6	46%	0.01	4	-0.05	1	0%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	28.4	15.4	30.2	2.4	25.7	129.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +49.9%

CHA +6.7%

MEM -13.2%

CHA +6.1%

CHA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHA	NBA	MEM	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	17.2	15.5	90.1	105.5	105.7
season	15.5	16.2		106.1	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.5	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.3	15.6	12.4	11.2	14.5
CHA	15.0	18.7	17.0	18.0	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Young	26	27	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.22	8	-22	30	10.6	16.0	-5.42	18.2	16.8	1.40
Hasheem Thabeet	25	26	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.26	9	-23	32	11.2	15.7	-4.48	19.0	16.5	2.47
Tony Allen	61	60	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-18	22	14.3	14.8	-0.52	17.9	15.9	2.01
Zach Randolph	62	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-5	-4	15.2	12.9	2.33	16.8	18.1	-1.37
Mike Conley	68	70	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-10	6	14.2	15.1	-0.85	17.5	16.2	1.31
Greivis Vasquez	18	16	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.12	-14	0	-14	15.9	14.1	1.86	16.2	17.4	-1.15
Marc Gasol	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	1	-16	16.0	12.6	3.35	16.6	18.0	-1.37
Rudy Gay	76	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	-9	4	14.5	14.1	0.46	17.2	17.3	-0.16
O.J. Mayo	39	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.27	-23	9	-32	15.0	14.1	0.92	16.2	18.0	-1.78
Darrell Arthur	30	28	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	0.21	-21	7	-28	15.5	13.9	1.62	16.5	17.5	-1.06

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	78	77	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.08	12	2	10	16.6	20.7	-4.08	14.3	15.4	-1.07
Stephen Jackson	80	80	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	4	6	17.3	16.1	1.26	14.3	15.5	-1.25
Shaun Livingston	30	31	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.16	19	-5	24	17.8	16.9	0.95	14.4	14.5	-0.05
Kwame Brown	66	65	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.25	2	12	-10	17.9	15.4	2.53	13.9	15.8	-1.90
Gerald Henderson	60	59	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	11	-8	17.4	16.9	0.50	14.7	14.1	0.60
D.J. Augustin	73	71	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.31	-2	16	-18	17.2	17.1	0.11	14.5	14.2	0.32
Matt Carroll	27	29	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.17	13	1	12	16.1	17.7	-1.55	14.1	14.6	-0.56
Tyrus Thomas	30	33	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.13	9	5	4	16.3	17.7	-1.39	15.3	13.9	1.39
Dominic McGuire	11	10	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	10	-6	18.5	17.0	1.43	17.0	14.1	2.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 83, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
TOR 79, CHH 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.9,0.83,0.92,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
LAC 94, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%