NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	82		Excitement	4.3 [908]		MVP	David Wingate (SEA): +5.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	92		Comeback	1.2 [911]		LVP	Travis Best (IND): -14.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	16	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Reggie Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	4	92%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Antonio Davis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	14	59%	0.02	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Vincent Askew	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.17	-0.01	-0.06	13	19%	-0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.01	-0.00	7	14%	-0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	15	60%	0.10	6	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	9	33%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	12	79%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Craig Ehlo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Kemp	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	53%	-0.00	2	-0.03	10	90%	0.02
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	15	32%	-0.05	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.6	24.8	16.7	24.3	2.6	26.0	122.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +25.4%

SEA +4.3%

IND -3.0%

SEA +22.0%

SEA +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SEA	NBA	IND	SEA	NBA
this game	16.8	14.7	15.6	89.1	101.1	104.4
season	15.3	14.9		103.6	108.9
opponent	16.2	16.3		100.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.4	16.8	15.7	16.0	16.8
SEA	12.1	15.2	14.9	16.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Johnson	10	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-10	10	15.0	17.0	-1.98	14.7	14.7	0.03
Antonio Davis	69	70	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-18	26	16.8	16.6	0.26	14.5	15.4	-0.88
Jerome Allen	29	29	-0.11	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-11	12	15.1	17.5	-2.47	14.1	15.0	-0.83
Travis Best	52	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-11	12	17.4	16.0	1.39	14.1	15.5	-1.33
Duane Ferrell	9	8	-0.20	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-1	-8	14.9	17.0	-2.07	16.0	14.6	1.42
Rik Smits	56	55	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.10	-4	-6	2	17.9	15.0	2.89	14.2	15.4	-1.23
Erick Dampier	34	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.14	-4	-6	2	15.4	17.6	-2.19	15.7	14.1	1.60
Vincent Askew	36	36	-0.26	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-4	-2	15.6	17.5	-1.93	16.0	13.8	2.19
Jalen Rose	34	34	-0.29	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-2	-6	15.9	17.2	-1.30	15.7	14.1	1.55
Reggie Miller	63	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	0	-10	17.1	16.1	1.01	14.8	14.4	0.40
Derrick McKey	68	64	-0.50	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	9	-28	18.0	13.4	4.58	14.0	16.4	-2.48

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	80	83	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-5	20	14.5	16.5	-1.99	17.2	13.1	4.05
Sam Perkins	33	36	0.38	0.13	0.25	-0.12	17	-7	24	15.4	14.3	1.04	17.7	16.1	1.62
Eric Snow	48	44	0.36	0.15	0.21	0.09	9	1	8	15.8	13.4	2.39	16.5	17.0	-0.54
Hersey Hawkins	58	59	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.15	6	4	2	14.9	14.3	0.58	17.1	16.2	0.86
Shawn Kemp	71	73	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.19	2	8	-6	14.1	16.9	-2.88	16.2	18.9	-2.76
Gary Payton	52	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	9	-8	14.3	15.3	-1.01	16.5	17.1	-0.58
David Wingate	40	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.16	1	9	-8	15.6	14.0	1.56	16.7	16.8	-0.16
Jim McIlvaine	54	52	0.13	0.38	-0.25	0.22	-3	13	-16	14.5	15.1	-0.59	16.9	16.6	0.33
Craig Ehlo	14	15	0.13	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	4	2	13.4	14.9	-1.59	18.1	16.5	1.56
Larry Stewart	5	4	0.00	0.51	-0.51	0.12	-4	14	-18	13.8	14.8	-0.96	6.0	17.2	-11.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 91, DET 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 69, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NYK 83, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%