NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	121		Excitement	5.6 [275]		MVP	Obi Toppin (IND): +22.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	107		Comeback	1.5 [131]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -5.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Obi Toppin	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.07	0.00	11	77%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Pascal Siakam	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.03	0.02	11	85%	0.21	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.02
Tyrese Haliburton	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.19	0.01	0.04	23	68%	0.18	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Johnny Furphy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	52%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Quenton Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enrique Freeman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	14	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Nembhard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
KJ Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	7	81%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	13	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	15	59%	0.10	6	-0.10	7	71%	-0.02
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.03
Jared McCain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	27.7	14.8	28.3	2.5	31.3	135.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +41.9%

IND +1.9%

PHI -2.5%

IND +9.7%

PHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	14.0	15.3	14.3	122.2	109.2	112.0
season	13.8	15.2		112.8	107.7
opponent	14.2	14.6		112.7	115.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.2	13.8	12.3	15.8	14.0
PHI	14.6	13.8	16.0	17.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	75	75	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.01	21	-7	28	14.2	13.4	0.79	15.7	13.7	2.01
Andrew Nembhard	69	69	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.09	24	-10	34	13.6	14.7	-1.10	15.7	14.3	1.37
Obi Toppin	66	65	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.19	9	5	4	12.9	16.2	-3.27	15.3	15.2	0.19
Tyrese Haliburton	71	72	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.17	21	-7	28	13.9	14.2	-0.29	15.2	15.5	-0.36
Myles Turner	48	50	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.15	17	-3	20	15.5	12.5	2.97	15.8	14.7	1.15
Pascal Siakam	67	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.27	19	-5	24	13.2	15.6	-2.45	14.9	16.1	-1.26
T.J. McConnell	37	36	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	20	-26	13.7	14.1	-0.38	15.8	15.0	0.79
Quenton Jackson	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	18.5	13.8	4.72	13.0	15.3	-2.35
Enrique Freeman	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	19	-24	18.5	13.8	4.72	13.0	15.3	-2.35
Johnny Furphy	22	21	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.19	-8	22	-30	14.8	13.7	1.09	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Jarace Walker	32	30	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.27	-17	31	-48	14.6	13.7	0.92	13.5	16.1	-2.61

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Council IV	42	44	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.29	10	-24	34	15.4	15.2	0.27	14.4	13.6	0.79
KJ Martin	47	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.43	13	-27	40	15.2	15.4	-0.16	14.6	13.4	1.19
Andre Drummond	46	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-14	14	16.0	14.7	1.32	13.1	14.8	-1.64
Reggie Jackson	10	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-11	8	15.9	15.2	0.70	14.8	13.9	0.95
Guerschon Yabusele	30	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-7	0	14.3	15.7	-1.36	13.8	14.0	-0.24
Jared McCain	60	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-4	-6	15.0	15.7	-0.71	14.0	13.9	0.16
Joel Embiid	37	36	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.08	-11	-3	-8	14.5	15.7	-1.18	14.6	13.6	1.05
Kelly Oubre Jr.	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.02	-12	-2	-10	15.2	15.5	-0.36	13.7	14.6	-0.94
Tyrese Maxey	76	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.07	-21	7	-28	15.3	15.3	0.00	13.5	15.6	-2.14
Paul George	72	71	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.21	-29	15	-44	15.8	13.8	2.00	14.2	13.4	0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.37,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.18,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 119, CHA 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.25,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.05,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
SAS 95, BOS 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.27,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	93.8%
SAS 110, MEM 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%