NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	109		Excitement	8.0 [308]		MVP	Luke Kennard (MEM): +22.4%
Denver Nuggets	117		Comeback	5.9 [416]		LVP	Vince Williams Jr. (MEM): -10.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.09	0.14	-0.00	6	86%	0.26	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Scotty Pippen Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	10	46%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
John Konchar	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.01	17	53%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Edey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	4	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.10	0.01	19	59%	0.12	3	-0.18	3	100%	0.02
Ja Morant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	21	45%	-0.01	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.04
Vince Williams Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.18	0.01	0.02	23	63%	0.18	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	19	58%	0.28	5	-0.16	7	43%	-0.10
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.03,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	9	61%	0.12	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.05
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.06	0.00	12	52%	0.13	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peyton Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	8	44%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Pickett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.4	25.7	14.8	26.3	1.7	33.0	131.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +2.0%

DEN +10.6%

DEN +22.8%

DEN +14.2%

DEN +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	14.6	13.6	14.4	105.8	115.8	113.1
season	13.3	14.2		115.6	117.1
opponent	14.5	14.3		114.6	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.5	14.3	13.8	15.9	14.6
DEN	12.7	13.4	13.4	15.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Kennard	53	52	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.06	12	-20	32	14.5	14.7	-0.19	13.6	13.7	-0.10
Vince Williams Jr.	35	35	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-13	18	13.4	15.2	-1.83	13.1	13.9	-0.81
John Konchar	13	14	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-8	8	14.5	14.6	-0.05	14.3	13.5	0.75
Lamar Stevens	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-6	4	3.0	14.7	-11.70	9.0	13.7	-4.69
Santi Aldama	58	54	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-6	4	13.5	16.0	-2.52	12.9	14.6	-1.70
Zach Edey	67	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-10	12	15.1	13.7	1.41	14.4	12.0	2.41
Desmond Bane	70	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.26	-11	3	-14	14.8	14.2	0.63	14.1	12.6	1.44
Scotty Pippen Jr.	63	61	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.17	-17	9	-26	15.6	13.0	2.59	14.0	13.1	0.90
Jaren Jackson Jr.	79	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.28	-14	6	-20	15.2	12.7	2.50	13.3	14.8	-1.51
Ja Morant	76	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.35	-13	5	-18	14.1	15.8	-1.67	13.4	14.3	-0.89

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Braun	72	75	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-4	16	13.5	14.1	-0.65	13.9	16.5	-2.63
Jamal Murray	66	67	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.34	10	-2	12	13.7	13.5	0.29	15.1	13.7	1.41
Russell Westbrook	55	55	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-3	14	13.9	13.3	0.54	15.4	13.6	1.75
Nikola Jokic	87	89	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-3	14	13.3	15.6	-2.32	14.4	15.7	-1.31
Aaron Gordon	87	88	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	0	8	13.7	13.2	0.50	14.0	18.2	-4.23
Peyton Watson	41	42	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	4	0	12.2	14.6	-2.36	16.2	13.5	2.72
DeAndre Jordan	14	14	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.02	-3	11	-14	15.6	13.3	2.32	15.7	14.4	1.31
Jalen Pickett	21	22	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.04	-4	12	-16	14.3	13.5	0.81	13.1	15.0	-1.90
Michael Porter Jr.	62	63	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.10	-9	17	-26	14.1	12.8	1.30	14.5	14.7	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.32,0.19,0.18,0.21,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.55,0.84,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 77, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.78,0.8,0.99,1	92.1%
HOU 109, ORL 116	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.43,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.54,0.77,0.98,1	91.8%
PHX 99, MEM 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.42,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.55,0.9,0.96,1	91.0%