NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	109		Excitement	7.4 [411]		MVP	Austin Rivers (HOU): +32.6%
Orlando Magic	116		Comeback	12.2 [75]		LVP	Gerald Green (HOU): -9.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Rivers	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.24	0.09	0.00	14	86%	0.33	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
James Harden	0.13	0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.13,0.13	0.01	0.08	-0.03	32	47%	0.24	4	-0.11	16	94%	0.08
Clint Capela	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.04	0.01	12	65%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
PJ Tucker	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Gary Clark	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	0.00	13	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Gerald Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	21%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.21	-0.01	14	53%	0.27	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.08	0.15	0.02	11	68%	0.27	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.11	0.00	7	56%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	15	65%	0.19	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	16	61%	0.14	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Briscoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	8	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	24.1	14.7	29.6	2.3	29.7	126.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +48.4%

ORL +1.3%

ORL +5.7%

HOU -4.6%

HOU -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ORL	NBA	HOU	ORL	NBA
this game	14.1	15.5	14.3	110.1	120.8	109.3
season	14.8	14.9		114.0	107.2
opponent	14.3	14.4		107.2	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.7	13.8	14.4	15.6	14.1
ORL	15.6	16.2	14.4	15.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquese Chriss	21	21	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.13	6	-13	19	13.2	14.3	-1.10	16.6	15.1	1.49
James Ennis III	33	33	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.11	1	-8	9	13.5	14.4	-0.97	15.1	15.6	-0.51
Gerald Green	39	40	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.15	-5	-2	-3	13.5	14.5	-1.06	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Gary Clark	22	21	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-5	3	14.2	14.1	0.16	15.3	15.5	-0.16
James Harden	90	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-7	7	13.8	17.1	-3.31	15.5	14.9	0.62
PJ Tucker	79	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-1	-5	14.4	13.1	1.25	15.4	15.5	-0.05
Austin Rivers	74	73	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	-1	-5	14.6	12.7	1.85	15.8	14.2	1.63
Danuel House Jr.	61	57	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.41	-11	4	-15	14.7	13.1	1.66	15.6	15.3	0.30
Clint Capela	76	74	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.39	-12	5	-17	14.0	14.3	-0.26	15.2	16.4	-1.23

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	70	73	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.43	15	-8	23	14.7	17.5	-2.80	14.3	13.6	0.71
Aaron Gordon	71	70	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.47	9	-2	11	15.6	15.0	0.62	14.1	14.1	0.05
D.J. Augustin	61	64	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-3	13	15.2	15.9	-0.76	14.1	14.1	0.02
Terrence Ross	55	58	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-4	15	16.1	14.6	1.44	14.4	13.6	0.80
Evan Fournier	74	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	-1	9	15.4	15.6	-0.17	14.5	12.9	1.56
Wes Iwundu	31	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	7	-7	15.1	15.6	-0.58	12.5	14.9	-2.32
Isaiah Briscoe	35	35	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.11	-3	10	-13	15.9	15.2	0.76	14.1	14.1	-0.02
Jonathan Isaac	57	62	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	-0.16	-7	14	-21	14.9	16.2	-1.30	14.1	14.1	0.07
Khem Birch	26	26	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.13	-8	15	-23	17.5	14.7	2.80	13.6	14.3	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.43,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.54,0.77,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.37,0.77,0.92,1	91.5%
PHX 79, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.78,0.84,1	91.0%
CHH 83, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.19,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.85,0.96,1	91.0%