NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	83		Excitement	7.7 [294]		MVP	Glen Rice (LAL): +16.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	87		Comeback	29.0 [75]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -32.4%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Eddie Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.07	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	14	49%	0.03	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	13	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Baron Davis	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	14	47%	-0.10	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Anthony Mason	-0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27	-0.08	-0.19	-0.01	6	40%	-0.15	1	-0.11	8	75%	-0.09
Bobby Phills	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.27	-0.05	-0.22	-0.00	15	50%	-0.02	3	-0.25	4	0%	-0.08

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Rice	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.12	-0.02	8	68%	0.24	2	-0.07	9	100%	0.05
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.01	10	54%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.04	-0.01	16	49%	0.02	3	-0.07	15	47%	-0.10
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	31%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	8	31%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.32	-0.32	-0.20	-0.14	-0.01	19	32%	-0.10	5	-0.23	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	2.6	33.0	16.7	27.5	2.6	40.0	147.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +11.8%

LAL +16.4%

LAL +14.5%

LAL +4.9%

LAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHH	LAL	NBA	CHH	LAL	NBA
this game	13.7	15.2	15.2	83.8	87.0	101.7
season	14.9	15.3		101.5	105.6
opponent	15.1	15.1		98.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHH	15.0	12.9	12.4	15.1	13.7
LAL	17.0	12.4	16.4	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	36	36	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.21	1	-5	6	13.1	14.1	-1.03	15.4	15.1	0.38
Brad Miller	27	28	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.12	4	-8	12	13.1	14.0	-0.81	16.1	14.9	1.21
Ricky Davis	52	50	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.03	7	-11	18	14.3	13.1	1.16	15.8	14.6	1.16
Eddie Robinson	9	9	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-4	4	11.0	14.0	-3.01	13.0	15.4	-2.42
David Wesley	73	75	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.54	1	-5	6	13.5	14.5	-1.03	15.6	14.1	1.44
Derrick Coleman	76	77	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.47	-5	1	-6	13.9	13.2	0.68	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Anthony Mason	77	78	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.54	-3	-1	-2	13.8	13.5	0.25	14.9	16.2	-1.32
Bobby Phills	69	70	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.41	-10	6	-16	13.2	14.9	-1.72	14.4	17.0	-2.57
Elden Campbell	76	77	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.29	-15	11	-26	14.7	10.5	4.25	15.4	14.4	0.99

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	74	73	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.38	14	-10	24	14.3	17.8	-3.52	13.0	15.7	-2.70
Robert Horry	49	48	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.44	8	-4	12	13.8	16.6	-2.83	12.9	14.6	-1.71
Glen Rice	78	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-3	10	15.0	16.0	-1.08	14.0	12.6	1.42
Shaquille O'Neal	100	98	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	0	4	15.2	0.0	15.20	13.8	7.0	6.81
Kobe Bryant	70	70	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.48	-7	11	-18	16.0	13.3	2.67	14.4	12.0	2.41
Brian Shaw	11	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	0	4	14.1	15.3	-1.25	10.7	14.1	-3.39
Devean George	0	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	4	-4	0.0	15.2	-15.20	7.0	13.8	-6.81
Rick Fox	34	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.16	3	1	2	15.7	14.9	0.77	13.6	13.8	-0.15
Ron Harper	45	44	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.05	-3	7	-10	15.7	14.8	0.97	14.5	13.1	1.45
A.C. Green	39	39	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	0.06	-10	14	-24	17.1	14.0	3.03	14.3	13.4	0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.19,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.2,0.64,0.78,0.73,1	91.2%
NYK 109, CHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.4,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.32,0.37,0.69,0.84,1	91.2%
HOU 109, ORL 116	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.43,0.31,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.26,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.54,0.77,0.98,1	91.0%