NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	109		Excitement	8.3 [204]		MVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): +33.6%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	12.4 [58]		LVP	Kurt Thomas (NYK): -17.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.23	0.08	0.13	-0.03	23	57%	0.26	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.04
Allan Houston	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.21	0.19	0.05	0.02	19	74%	0.29	1	-0.08	8	87%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.11	0.00	13	58%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Othella Harrington	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Shandon Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.08,-0.18	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	18	45%	0.03	3	-0.21	4	100%	0.06

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Rose	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.35,0.34	0.34	0.05	0.26	-0.02	24	61%	0.39	3	-0.06	11	91%	0.05
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.2,0.2,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.16	-0.00	6	67%	0.21	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.03	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
A.J. Guyton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.05
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	26.2	15.6	26.1	1.8	39.2	136.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +16.1%

CHI +14.9%

CHI +3.5%

CHI +18.6%

NYK -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	16.4	14.3	15.6	116.0	120.2	102.3
season	15.9	15.6		99.6	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.5	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.5	18.2	15.8	17.1	16.4
CHI	14.9	13.1	14.9	14.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	26	26	0.34	-0.84	1.17	0.07	9	-13	22	15.5	16.7	-1.14	15.0	14.0	0.95
Felton Spencer	35	34	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.04	8	-12	20	16.2	16.4	-0.21	15.0	13.9	1.09
Charlie Ward	25	25	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.13	-4	0	-4	18.2	15.7	2.56	14.4	14.2	0.11
Travis Knight	18	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	0	-4	17.1	16.2	0.93	14.8	14.1	0.64
Allan Houston	89	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	-3	2	16.2	19.2	-3.00	14.3	14.3	-0.06
Latrell Sprewell	88	88	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-2	0	16.5	14.7	1.81	14.3	13.5	0.83
Kurt Thomas	87	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.45	-1	-3	2	16.4	16.3	0.08	14.4	11.8	2.61
Mark Jackson	69	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.51	0	-4	4	15.7	18.2	-2.56	14.2	14.4	-0.11
Shandon Anderson	33	33	-1.11	0.61	-1.73	-0.38	-25	21	-46	16.8	16.1	0.75	12.2	15.4	-3.27

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred Hoiberg	45	46	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.20	21	-17	38	13.1	15.4	-2.28	16.5	16.3	0.19
Travis Best	41	42	0.81	-0.30	1.11	0.34	16	-12	28	13.9	14.6	-0.71	17.4	15.6	1.80
Tyson Chandler	73	73	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.54	4	0	4	14.3	14.3	-0.07	16.6	15.6	1.02
Jalen Rose	86	86	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.41	2	2	0	14.4	12.6	1.81	16.4	16.0	0.40
Trenton Hassell	87	87	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	7	-10	14.7	8.6	6.16	16.1	19.7	-3.62
Greg Anthony	19	17	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	3	-2	12.9	14.6	-1.73	17.3	16.2	1.14
Dalibor Bagaric	29	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.11	-3	7	-10	14.1	14.4	-0.25	16.7	16.2	0.50
Eddy Curry	54	55	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.05	-6	10	-16	14.9	13.5	1.35	16.3	16.5	-0.26
A.J. Guyton	36	36	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.07	-12	16	-28	14.8	14.0	0.81	14.6	17.4	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.4,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.32,0.37,0.69,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 83, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.19,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.85,0.96,1	91.2%
MIL 105, PHX 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.38,0.36,0.78,0.73,1	90.6%
NJN 97, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.85,0.85,1	90.4%