NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	97		Excitement	7.2 [410]		MVP	Vince Carter (NJN): +38.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	100		Comeback	5.9 [148]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -8.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.39	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.39	0.25	0.15	0.02	23	71%	0.39	0	0.00	3	100%	0.05
Jason Kidd	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	9	38%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Bostjan Nachbar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Antoine Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.04	-0.03	8	56%	0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	6	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	11	67%	0.17	3	-0.20	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.07	0.02	13	60%	0.07	2	-0.13	4	50%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.24	0.24	0.10	0.14	0.01	10	68%	0.24	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.15	0.01	19	53%	0.23	0	0.00	9	100%	0.12
Ime Udoka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	100%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	53%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Juan Dixon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	5	69%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Dan Dickau	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	38%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	0.8	25.8	15.6	23.2	1.8	42.2	134.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN -19.1%

POR +11.4%

POR +19.2%

POR +41.6%

NJN -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	POR	NBA	NJN	POR	NBA
this game	17.8	17.5	15.4	119.8	122.0	104.5
season	15.4	16.7		103.1	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.6	17.5	18.6	17.6	17.8
POR	18.4	16.0	18.4	17.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Williams	24	26	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.12	-1	-2	1	17.1	18.1	-1.04	15.6	18.4	-2.85
Nenad Krstic	55	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.18	5	-8	13	18.3	16.8	1.54	18.9	15.0	3.85
Mikki Moore	22	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	2	-7	16.9	18.2	-1.31	16.0	18.1	-2.10
Bostjan Nachbar	23	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-1	-1	16.5	18.3	-1.87	15.1	18.5	-3.39
Vince Carter	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.50	6	-9	15	17.6	18.6	-1.00	17.7	16.4	1.32
Jason Collins	58	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-3	3	17.7	18.0	-0.26	18.2	16.0	2.21
Antoine Wright	35	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.03	-13	10	-23	18.5	17.3	1.28	15.4	19.2	-3.81
Richard Jefferson	60	60	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.59	0	-3	3	18.0	17.1	0.91	18.4	15.2	3.20
Jason Kidd	61	61	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.52	-5	2	-7	18.1	16.9	1.21	18.2	15.4	2.82

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juan Dixon	40	37	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.35	11	-8	19	16.7	18.3	-1.56	17.7	17.9	-0.16
Martell Webster	58	59	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-4	11	18.4	15.5	2.86	18.0	17.4	0.62
Travis Outlaw	46	45	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-3	9	16.7	18.6	-1.89	18.1	17.4	0.67
Zach Randolph	52	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.52	-2	5	-7	17.9	16.8	1.14	17.7	18.0	-0.23
Jarrett Jack	62	63	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.47	-6	9	-15	18.0	16.1	1.88	18.0	17.1	0.98
Sergio Rodriguez	25	24	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.10	11	-8	19	16.4	18.0	-1.56	17.7	17.9	-0.15
Dan Dickau	1	0	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	1	1	1.0	17.7	-16.73	0.0	17.8	-17.81
Jamaal Magloire	30	29	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.11	5	-2	7	16.8	17.9	-1.14	18.0	17.7	0.23
Ime Udoka	51	51	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	6	-9	17.4	17.7	-0.25	17.7	18.1	-0.40
Stephen Graham	0	1	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	6	-9	0.0	17.5	-17.52	3.0	18.0	-15.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	45	45	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	0.05	-16	19	-35	18.4	16.4	2.04	17.3	18.5	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.85,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 89, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.38,0.64,0.77,0.95,1	92.5%
POR 96, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.32,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.47,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.55,0.91,0.85,1	90.8%
NYK 109, CHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.4,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.32,0.37,0.69,0.84,1	90.4%