NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	89		Excitement	7.6 [307]		MVP	Markieff Morris (PHX): +21.4%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	5.3 [209]		LVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): -14.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.05	0.12	-0.00	5	75%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.06	-0.02	6	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Austin Daye	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	43%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	14	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	16	56%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Danny Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	5	30%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09	0.04	-0.13	0.01	11	57%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.10
Manu Ginobili	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15	-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	5	15%	-0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.15	-0.00	16	53%	0.21	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	17	61%	0.24	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	-0.00	7	56%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	15	34%	-0.05	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	32.3	15.4	27.4	1.7	34.1	137.2
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS -15.1%

PHX +21.5%

PHX +26.7%

PHX +19.2%

SAS -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	15.1	94.7	100.0	104.2
season	15.4	14.4		106.9	103.7
opponent	15.0	14.9		104.9	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.5	17.1	15.0	17.6	15.7
PHX	16.0	14.9	13.2	15.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Daye	39	37	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.01	6	-11	17	15.4	16.0	-0.58	15.6	14.5	1.12
Aron Baynes	24	24	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.05	3	-8	11	15.7	15.7	-0.08	14.0	15.2	-1.28
Cory Joseph	28	27	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.13	-2	-3	1	17.6	14.9	2.68	13.3	15.6	-2.22
Kawhi Leonard	44	46	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.34	13	-18	31	14.7	16.6	-1.83	17.0	12.9	4.17
Marco Belinelli	42	40	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.25	-8	3	-11	16.9	14.8	2.14	14.0	15.6	-1.55
Jeff Ayres	11	10	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.10	-11	6	-17	19.3	15.3	4.02	12.9	15.2	-2.25
Manu Ginobili	49	51	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.45	2	-7	9	15.3	16.2	-0.87	14.6	15.3	-0.76
Tim Duncan	59	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-8	11	15.1	16.8	-1.72	15.6	13.6	1.99
Tony Parker	73	73	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.44	-4	-1	-3	15.4	16.8	-1.40	15.5	13.0	2.53
Boris Diaw	55	57	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.34	-11	6	-17	16.0	15.4	0.58	14.5	15.6	-1.12
Danny Green	46	45	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.21	-16	11	-27	15.4	16.1	-0.69	14.0	15.8	-1.84

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	56	56	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-5	15	14.4	15.7	-1.34	16.6	14.5	2.05
Eric Bledsoe	75	75	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-6	17	15.4	13.2	2.20	16.4	13.2	3.15
Alex Len	62	63	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.24	12	-7	19	14.4	15.9	-1.46	16.2	14.8	1.42
Markieff Morris	63	63	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.43	2	3	-1	15.9	13.0	2.86	15.1	16.9	-1.81
Goran Dragic	69	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.60	-9	14	-23	15.3	13.9	1.36	14.4	19.2	-4.85
Gerald Green	37	38	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.24	15	-10	25	13.1	16.1	-2.98	17.4	14.6	2.85
Anthony Tolliver	34	33	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.06	2	3	-1	13.4	15.8	-2.45	16.7	15.2	1.45
Miles Plumlee	29	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.10	-6	11	-17	15.8	14.5	1.22	14.9	16.1	-1.15
Marcus Morris	45	45	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.03	-12	17	-29	15.8	14.1	1.66	14.2	17.1	-2.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.38,0.64,0.77,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 97, POR 100	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.55,0.85,0.85,1	92.5%
TOR 91, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.33,0.39,0.69,0.75,0.84,1	92.5%
LAC 89, CHI 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.33,0.45,0.54,0.43,0.92,1	92.0%