NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	105		Excitement	8.9 [193]		MVP	Malcolm Brogdon (MIL): +38.2%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	12.8 [40]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): -25.9%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0.38	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.38,0.38	0.13	0.27	0.01	12	70%	0.38	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Snell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.03	-0.02	5	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	8	61%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	14	55%	0.11	6	-0.15	10	50%	-0.14
Nikola Mirotic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	41%	-0.02	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	11	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	13	20%	-0.14	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.16,-0.26	-0.08	-0.18	-0.00	15	42%	-0.17	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.14	0.02	14	60%	0.28	2	-0.06	17	71%	-0.03
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.09	0.03	13	66%	0.18	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	0.01	13	50%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.09	0.01	18	55%	0.18	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	64%	0.15	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	7	14%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	25.6	15.3	28.7	2.3	45.3	142.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +36.1%

PHX +8.9%

PHX +1.8%

PHX +5.4%

MIL -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHX	NBA	MIL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.5	14.3	14.3	101.0	110.7	109.3
season	13.5	14.4		112.4	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.3		114.0	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.8	12.2	13.4	14.0	13.5
PHX	15.9	11.8	16.6	13.7	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	33	33	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.09	9	-18	27	13.4	13.6	-0.21	15.6	13.7	1.93
Tony Snell	43	42	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.25	-2	-7	5	12.8	14.0	-1.20	15.3	13.6	1.68
Pat Connaughton	44	44	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.13	2	-11	13	13.3	13.7	-0.34	15.4	13.5	1.91
Pau Gasol	11	11	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-10	11	13.8	13.5	0.31	13.1	14.4	-1.34
Brook Lopez	69	68	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-11	13	13.9	12.8	1.11	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Eric Bledsoe	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-1	-7	13.8	13.1	0.67	13.9	14.9	-0.93
Malcolm Brogdon	63	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	-2	-5	13.7	13.3	0.33	14.5	14.0	0.41
Giannis Antetokounmpo	72	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.37	-5	-4	-1	12.9	15.0	-2.07	14.9	12.7	2.20
Nikola Mirotic	52	51	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.02	-19	10	-29	13.8	13.3	0.50	12.8	15.7	-2.95
Khris Middleton	69	68	-0.96	0.46	-1.42	-0.43	-18	9	-27	13.9	12.9	0.98	13.2	16.3	-3.11

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Johnson	76	74	1.07	-0.57	1.63	0.33	25	-16	41	13.6	16.4	-2.82	14.2	12.0	2.16
Deandre Ayton	74	75	0.98	-0.48	1.47	0.31	23	-14	37	13.3	16.8	-3.48	14.0	12.3	1.75
Kelly Oubre Jr.	72	73	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.30	20	-11	31	13.5	16.0	-2.49	13.6	13.3	0.35
Devin Booker	84	84	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.28	15	-6	21	14.1	15.3	-1.26	14.0	11.8	2.15
Mikal Bridges	65	65	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	6	-3	14.8	13.5	1.25	13.2	14.2	-1.03
Troy Daniels	13	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	11	-13	13.7	14.4	-0.69	12.4	13.7	-1.32
Dragan Bender	25	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.02	-5	14	-19	15.3	14.0	1.31	15.2	13.0	2.24
Josh Jackson	50	52	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.10	-4	13	-17	14.8	13.8	1.03	12.7	14.4	-1.73
Richaun Holmes	29	29	-0.48	0.98	-1.47	-0.07	-14	23	-37	16.8	13.3	3.48	12.3	14.0	-1.75
Jamal Crawford	27	30	-0.57	1.07	-1.63	-0.10	-16	25	-41	16.4	13.6	2.82	12.0	14.2	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.38,0.36,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.2,0.64,0.78,0.73,1	91.8%
NYK 109, CHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.4,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.32,0.37,0.69,0.84,1	90.6%
CHH 83, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.19,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.85,0.96,1	90.2%