NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	7.9 [215]		MVP	Luis Scola (HOU): +26.7%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	41.5 [19]		LVP	Chandler Parsons (HOU): -10.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ramon Sessions	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	9	70%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11	0.14	-0.01	0.01	14	70%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	67%	0.11	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.14,-0.23,-0.14,-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.03	27	48%	0.06	1	-0.09	7	100%	0.05
Matt Barnes	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	7	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Steve Blake	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.16	-0.00	13	72%	0.31	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.23	0.23	-0.02	0.25	-0.01	13	62%	0.35	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.02	17	55%	0.09	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	10	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	0.01	7	47%	0.03	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.07
Chandler Parsons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.11,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.7	30.3	15.7	33.2	2.4	41.8	150.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.8%

LAL -0.4%

HOU +26.6%

LAL -10.2%

HOU +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	15.0	15.6	111.8	116.3	102.8
season	16.2	15.4		103.8	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.2	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	15.4	16.7	17.4	16.1
HOU	16.3	14.0	14.7	15.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	49	50	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.19	10	-13	23	15.1	17.2	-2.19	15.8	14.1	1.68
Andrew Bynum	46	46	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.19	-6	3	-9	16.1	16.1	-0.06	14.5	15.5	-0.98
Jordan Hill	3	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-3	3	12.0	16.2	-4.23	17.0	15.0	2.01
Troy Murphy	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	0	-3	16.1	16.1	-0.04	15.4	14.9	0.56
Steve Blake	37	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	3	-9	16.3	16.0	0.33	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Josh McRoberts	39	39	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.39	6	-9	15	16.6	15.7	0.89	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Ramon Sessions	55	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.40	3	-6	9	16.2	15.9	0.30	15.1	15.0	0.10
Kobe Bryant	68	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.58	-3	0	-3	16.0	16.4	-0.47	15.0	15.0	0.04
Pau Gasol	68	68	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.65	-2	-1	-1	16.2	15.8	0.46	15.3	14.2	1.12
Metta World Peace	71	68	-0.83	0.33	-1.17	-0.42	-14	11	-25	16.5	14.7	1.85	14.5	16.7	-2.21

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luis Scola	63	66	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.48	13	-10	23	15.2	14.6	0.65	16.3	15.5	0.87
Courtney Lee	69	69	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.38	14	-11	25	15.6	13.4	2.19	16.5	15.0	1.42
Chandler Parsons	66	68	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.58	3	0	3	14.6	16.0	-1.40	16.3	15.5	0.84
Patrick Patterson	48	47	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	0	3	14.8	15.3	-0.55	16.3	15.9	0.45
Goran Dragic	79	78	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.50	-1	4	-5	15.1	14.8	0.22	16.4	14.3	2.18
Samuel Dalembert	42	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	-2	7	14.5	15.4	-0.89	16.3	15.9	0.43
Courtney Fortson	13	15	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.09	4	-1	5	14.8	15.1	-0.22	14.3	16.4	-2.18
Marcus Camby	31	30	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.01	-15	18	-33	15.7	14.7	0.97	14.9	16.7	-1.82
Chase Budinger	49	49	-0.46	0.96	-1.42	-0.14	-11	14	-25	14.8	15.3	-0.51	15.3	17.0	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.2,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.2,0.64,0.78,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 105, PHX 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.27,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.38,0.36,0.78,0.73,1	91.8%
CHH 83, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.31,0.46,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.33,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.19,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.85,0.96,1	91.2%
NYK 109, CHI 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.43,0.51,0.52,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.4,0.19,0.22,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.32,0.37,0.69,0.84,1	90.3%