NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	79		Excitement	6.8 [466]		MVP	Chris Childs (NYK): +25.0%
New York Knicks	84		Comeback	10.9 [127]		LVP	Jason Kidd (PHX): -29.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	64%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	59%	0.06	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Rex Chapman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	10	41%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	15	44%	-0.02	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27	-0.09	-0.19	-0.01	18	42%	-0.14	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.19,-0.29	-0.13	-0.17	-0.01	5	17%	-0.22	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.04	0.22	0.01	6	79%	0.30	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.00	14	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	6	54%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.00	20	54%	0.07	2	-0.13	6	83%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	7	12%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	21	47%	-0.09	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	27.4	18.8	26.2	2.6	42.1	142.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +44.0%

PHX -3.6%

PHX -4.7%

NYK +14.0%

NYK +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	16.5	16.3	15.2	89.8	95.5	101.7
season	14.8	16.1		101.4	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.3		98.8	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	15.5	18.4	17.4	16.5
NYK	17.4	17.2	16.7	13.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	21	22	0.26	-0.76	1.02	0.11	5	-10	15	18.7	15.8	2.91	16.2	16.3	-0.06
Shawn Marion	23	22	0.15	-0.65	0.79	0.06	3	-8	11	16.2	16.6	-0.38	16.2	16.3	-0.12
Rex Chapman	7	6	0.11	-0.61	0.71	0.02	3	-8	11	18.0	16.3	1.68	20.7	16.0	4.72
Luc Longley	38	39	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.11	-2	-3	1	17.6	15.6	1.98	18.3	14.6	3.70
Tom Gugliotta	81	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	16.5	15.4	1.11	16.1	18.6	-2.50
Rodney Rogers	62	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.36	-6	1	-7	16.5	16.3	0.21	15.6	17.9	-2.34
Anfernee Hardaway	81	82	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.37	-8	3	-11	16.3	18.0	-1.68	16.0	20.7	-4.72
Clifford Robinson	60	60	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.47	-7	2	-9	15.7	18.1	-2.48	15.9	17.0	-1.01
Jason Kidd	67	66	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.47	-10	5	-15	15.8	18.7	-2.91	16.3	16.2	0.06

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allan Houston	77	76	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.39	18	-13	31	16.2	16.9	-0.73	16.7	14.6	2.17
Patrick Ewing	77	77	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.39	8	-3	11	16.4	15.7	0.62	16.3	17.8	-1.56
Latrell Sprewell	75	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-5	15	16.1	17.2	-1.12	16.3	17.5	-1.25
Chris Childs	50	49	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.48	-2	7	-9	16.0	16.7	-0.68	16.9	15.9	0.95
Larry Johnson	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.41	0	5	-5	15.7	19.0	-3.33	15.8	19.1	-3.30
Kurt Thomas	59	59	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.11	-3	8	-11	16.7	15.3	1.38	16.5	16.4	0.01
John Wallace	30	31	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.11	-6	11	-17	17.8	15.5	2.27	17.4	15.9	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.78,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.37,0.77,0.92,1	92.2%
SAS 93, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.55,0.58,1	91.3%
POR 108, OKC 110	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.63,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.77,0.84,1	91.3%