NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	7.9 [274]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +40.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Comeback	6.2 [244]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): -29.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Roy	0.25	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.02,0.25	0.13	0.11	-0.01	17	63%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.06
Rudy Fernandez	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	8	83%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armon Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	46%	0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.03
Nicolas Batum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.01	0.08	-0.05	0.02	14	68%	0.10	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	13	54%	0.05	3	-0.10	9	78%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.11	-0.20	-0.01	10	50%	-0.02	6	-0.27	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.41	0.41	0.16	0.24	-0.00	22	64%	0.45	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.10
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.14,0.33,0.4,0.39	0.39	0.17	0.24	0.02	21	71%	0.48	3	-0.09	6	83%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	5	86%	0.12	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	13	46%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	3.7	35.2	19.4	25.4	3.8	40.0	155.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +28.9%

OKC +9.6%

POR -11.5%

OKC +16.5%

OKC +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	15.6	16.7	15.5	121.3	123.6	105.7
season	16.5	15.0		106.7	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.5	17.0	14.6	16.6	15.6
OKC	17.6	15.0	16.7	17.7	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Matthews	24	25	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.12	6	-8	14	15.3	15.7	-0.41	17.2	16.5	0.71
Dante Cunningham	34	33	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.09	5	-7	12	15.1	16.0	-0.88	16.7	16.7	-0.05
Sean Marks	4	5	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.04	5	-7	12	16.0	15.6	0.39	15.0	16.8	-1.83
Armon Johnson	10	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-1	0	11.6	16.1	-4.54	18.8	16.4	2.38
Rudy Fernandez	43	44	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-9	16	14.1	17.1	-2.97	17.4	16.0	1.39
LaMarcus Aldridge	73	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.52	-1	-1	0	14.9	18.9	-4.03	16.5	17.6	-1.09
Nicolas Batum	61	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.52	-2	0	-2	15.2	16.6	-1.48	15.6	19.5	-3.91
Andre Miller	66	64	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.48	-5	3	-8	16.2	14.0	2.20	16.4	17.5	-1.10
Brandon Roy	64	63	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	8	-18	17.1	11.8	5.27	16.4	17.4	-0.98
Marcus Camby	66	64	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.28	-14	12	-26	16.8	12.2	4.66	17.8	14.0	3.74

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	81	80	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.41	14	-12	26	16.5	18.9	-2.36	16.4	8.7	7.75
Serge Ibaka	70	71	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.55	4	-2	6	16.8	16.6	0.13	15.2	17.2	-2.00
Kevin Durant	74	74	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.56	2	0	2	17.0	15.5	1.44	15.4	16.9	-1.57
Thabo Sefolosha	64	62	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.36	7	-5	12	16.7	16.9	-0.21	15.6	15.7	-0.05
Nenad Krstic	72	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	-9	20	17.8	12.3	5.48	17.1	9.4	7.69
DJ White	16	15	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	2	-2	14.9	17.1	-2.26	16.9	15.4	1.49
Daequan Cook	5	5	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	10	-18	20.2	16.5	3.68	8.0	16.1	-8.08
James Harden	41	44	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	11	-20	14.8	18.4	-3.66	14.3	16.9	-2.64
Eric Maynor	22	22	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.08	-11	13	-24	17.6	16.4	1.14	13.8	16.2	-2.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.63,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.25,0.36,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 87, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.37,0.77,0.92,1	92.3%
PHX 79, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.18,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.78,0.84,1	91.3%
POR 103, MEM 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.9,1	90.9%