NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	103		Excitement	8.8 [171]		MVP	MarShon Brooks (MEM): +47.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	108		Comeback	6.9 [123]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): -22.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.31	0.26	0.07	0.02	25	71%	0.36	2	-0.06	9	78%	-0.05
Wade Baldwin IV	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.13	0.17	-0.00	6	79%	0.30	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Zach Collins	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.14	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.05	0.00	6	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.11
Ed Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Pat Connaughton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	5	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	11	31%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Turner	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	9	25%	-0.05	1	-0.10	2	50%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.09	0.00	9	25%	-0.09	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.28,0.19,0.35,0.28,0.51,0.48	0.48	0.16	0.32	0.00	12	81%	0.57	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	6	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	12	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	8	53%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.04
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kobi Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	57%	0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.00	12	56%	0.08	2	-0.12	8	62%	-0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	8	30%	-0.11	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	29.4	14.7	24.2	2.5	34.4	131.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +45.4%

MEM +1.1%

MEM +11.6%

POR -7.6%

POR -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MEM	NBA	POR	MEM	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	14.7	106.2	110.2	107.5
season	15.2	15.4		107.8	103.4
opponent	14.6	14.3		109.8	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	13.7	14.8	14.7	13.6	14.2
MEM	17.6	14.6	15.9	13.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Collins	47	47	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.04	6	-11	17	13.8	14.6	-0.81	14.7	15.9	-1.24
Ed Davis	38	39	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-6	7	14.5	14.0	0.52	16.1	14.9	1.17
Wade Baldwin IV	41	42	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.10	-2	-3	1	14.5	13.9	0.57	15.3	15.4	-0.15
Shabazz Napier	55	56	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-4	3	14.6	13.6	0.96	15.6	15.0	0.61
Pat Connaughton	59	60	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-8	11	13.2	15.8	-2.59	14.8	16.3	-1.50
CJ McCollum	75	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.45	1	-6	7	13.4	16.9	-3.52	15.4	15.1	0.27
Jusuf Nurkic	55	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.34	-6	1	-7	14.5	13.8	0.71	15.8	14.8	1.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	58	59	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	1	-7	14.0	14.5	-0.46	15.3	15.4	-0.06
Evan Turner	57	57	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.31	-21	16	-37	15.7	12.0	3.63	15.3	15.4	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaMychal Green	60	60	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.47	14	-9	23	14.6	16.5	-1.93	14.2	14.2	0.04
Jarell Martin	61	61	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.40	9	-4	13	14.9	16.1	-1.14	13.9	14.6	-0.72
MarShon Brooks	45	45	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.34	8	-3	11	14.0	16.5	-2.53	14.1	14.2	-0.10
Dillon Brooks	61	61	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	1	3	15.7	14.7	1.04	13.8	14.8	-0.99
Mario Chalmers	37	36	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.15	14	-9	23	15.8	15.1	0.66	17.3	12.4	4.92
Kobi Simmons	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.50	-9	14	-23	15.1	15.8	-0.66	12.4	17.3	-4.92
Marc Gasol	43	41	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	4	-3	16.5	14.4	2.12	14.4	14.0	0.44
Wayne Selden	47	46	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.07	-1	6	-7	15.6	15.1	0.52	14.5	13.9	0.64
Deyonta Davis	37	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.05	-6	11	-17	15.4	15.3	0.01	14.6	13.9	0.66
Chandler Parsons	38	37	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.12	-9	14	-23	16.5	14.6	1.93	14.2	14.2	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 93, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.2,0.46,0.45,0.54,0.69,0.74,1	91.5%
UTA 93, TOR 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.71,0.69,0.91,1	91.4%
DET 101, ORL 103	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.1,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.84,1	91.0%