NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	112		Excitement	6.6 [534]		MVP	Shaedon Sharpe (POR): +33.4%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	2.0 [743]		LVP	Jonathan Mogbo (TOR): -12.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaedon Sharpe	0.33	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.24	0.07	-0.02	23	72%	0.36	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Matisse Thybulle	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.06	-0.03	19	53%	0.17	6	-0.12	5	100%	0.02
Donovan Clingan	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	53%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Duop Reath	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Minaya	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Rayan Rupert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	62%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Toumani Camara	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	8	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	20	59%	0.12	7	-0.19	4	100%	0.03

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.04	0.05	11	68%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	12	58%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Battle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.02	0.04	4	112%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.01	8	62%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	76%	0.11	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	18	49%	0.04	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Scottie Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	8	29%	0.00	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	9	45%	-0.10	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cole Swider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	8	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Mogbo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.03	6	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	31.3	14.7	22.5	2.5	27.2	122.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +31.7%

POR +13.5%

POR +11.6%

TOR -7.1%

POR +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	TOR	NBA	POR	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	14.0	14.4	110.9	102.0	113.0
season	14.3	13.9		110.3	109.0
opponent	14.6	14.5		113.0	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.0	14.7	14.2	13.3	14.6
TOR	14.6	11.5	15.1	15.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Walker	38	38	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-3	15	13.9	15.0	-1.06	12.8	14.6	-1.79
Matisse Thybulle	53	54	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-5	19	13.8	15.4	-1.56	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Shaedon Sharpe	70	72	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.06	17	-8	25	14.6	14.4	0.19	14.2	13.3	0.91
Dalano Banton	77	77	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.33	-3	12	-15	15.7	10.9	4.83	13.5	15.5	-2.02
Kris Murray	30	29	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.14	3	6	-3	12.9	15.3	-2.40	13.4	14.2	-0.72
Rayan Rupert	26	25	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	7	-5	13.3	15.0	-1.68	15.0	13.6	1.33
Deni Avdija	69	70	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	7	-5	15.0	13.6	1.45	14.3	13.1	1.20
Duop Reath	14	15	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	3	3	12.2	14.9	-2.72	14.3	13.9	0.44
Justin Minaya	17	16	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.11	0	9	-9	12.3	15.0	-2.72	14.2	13.9	0.34
Donovan Clingan	61	60	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	12	-15	15.3	13.3	1.99	14.5	13.2	1.25
Toumani Camara	50	49	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	14	-19	15.5	13.6	1.83	14.0	13.9	0.16

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ja'Kobe Walter	61	62	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-15	21	13.9	14.0	-0.07	14.7	14.3	0.40
RJ Barrett	52	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.15	4	-13	17	13.6	14.3	-0.71	16.2	12.8	3.42
A.J. Lawson	42	42	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.24	5	-14	19	12.6	14.9	-2.38	13.7	15.2	-1.52
Scottie Barnes	57	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-5	1	13.6	14.4	-0.84	15.8	13.1	2.69
Orlando Robinson	53	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	15.8	11.9	3.85	16.0	13.0	3.04
Jamal Shead	50	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-1	-7	14.1	13.9	0.20	16.1	13.2	2.95
Jonathan Mogbo	62	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	12.8	15.8	-2.99	13.2	16.9	-3.71
Ochai Agbaji	47	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	14.0	14.0	-0.01	13.2	15.7	-2.49
Cole Swider	28	29	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.04	-16	7	-23	15.3	13.4	1.88	12.4	15.4	-3.00
Jamison Battle	53	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	5	-19	14.5	13.3	1.19	13.3	15.9	-2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 77, UTA 66	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.3,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.0%
CHI 99, DET 79	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.36,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
MEM 106, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	93.5%