NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	106		Excitement	6.2 [572]		MVP	Kosta Koufos (MEM): +8.7%
Orlando Magic	96		Comeback	1.8 [808]		LVP	Ben Gordon (ORL): -9.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	2	83%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	14	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Beno Udrih	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	12	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.01	18	51%	0.10	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.03
Tony Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	10	68%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	-0.00	15	49%	0.08	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Vince Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	48%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Nick Calathes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	18%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.02	12	63%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	13	64%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	16	59%	0.08	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	17	47%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Devyn Marble	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.4	28.4	16.5	31.3	2.5	31.5	134.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +12.1%

MEM +12.0%

MEM +20.0%

MEM +10.4%

ORL -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ORL	NBA	MEM	ORL	NBA
this game	15.4	13.8	15.1	108.2	97.0	104.2
season	15.9	14.9		103.8	100.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		105.9	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.2	15.0	15.0	15.3	15.4
ORL	12.6	14.4	14.4	14.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	64	63	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-5	20	15.2	15.9	-0.68	14.3	13.1	1.19
Courtney Lee	70	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-3	16	15.5	15.1	0.42	13.7	14.3	-0.62
Marc Gasol	77	77	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	0	10	15.6	14.8	0.76	13.1	16.4	-3.31
Zach Randolph	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	3	4	15.5	15.2	0.24	13.5	14.9	-1.47
Nick Calathes	39	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.12	5	5	0	15.0	15.7	-0.68	14.6	13.3	1.28
Beno Udrih	59	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	5	0	15.7	15.0	0.68	13.3	14.6	-1.28
Kosta Koufos	33	33	0.14	0.35	-0.21	0.14	0	10	-10	15.2	15.5	-0.25	15.7	12.9	2.79
Vince Carter	14	15	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	7	-4	14.6	15.5	-0.98	15.4	13.6	1.84
Tony Allen	62	64	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.13	-8	18	-26	15.5	15.2	0.29	13.6	14.3	-0.65

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Harkless	10	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-9	8	17.2	13.5	3.74	14.6	15.5	-0.90
Devyn Marble	65	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-7	4	13.3	14.8	-1.46	16.0	14.2	1.80
Nikola Vucevic	81	82	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.17	-1	-9	8	13.2	16.6	-3.39	15.7	13.8	1.91
Victor Oladipo	79	76	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-7	4	13.4	15.5	-2.14	15.4	15.6	-0.24
Elfrid Payton	81	80	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.12	-3	-7	4	13.2	16.7	-3.52	15.9	13.3	2.61
Evan Fournier	24	26	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-3	-4	14.4	13.7	0.71	14.6	15.7	-1.13
Luke Ridnour	18	18	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-3	-4	16.7	13.2	3.52	13.3	15.9	-2.61
Channing Frye	79	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.19	-4	-6	2	13.6	14.7	-1.14	15.6	14.5	1.14
Ben Gordon	31	30	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-1	-8	15.3	13.2	2.07	14.9	15.6	-0.68
Kyle O'Quinn	27	26	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.11	-12	2	-14	15.5	13.2	2.26	14.0	15.9	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, NOP 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%
CLE 93, ATL 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.1%
LAC 93, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.0%