NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Excitement	5.3 [800]		MVP	Predrag Drobnjak (ATL): +9.3%
Atlanta Hawks	79		Comeback	2.0 [326]		LVP	Antoine Walker (ATL): -17.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.01	0.03	14	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	12	75%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Lucious Harris	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
LeBron James	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.02	17	54%	0.06	3	-0.07	12	67%	-0.04
Ira Newble	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	12	65%	0.18	6	-0.21	2	100%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Robert Traylor	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.02	9	40%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.00	0.00	9	79%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Childress	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	52%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	2	60%	-0.01	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	9	11%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.07	20	45%	-0.08	6	-0.09	9	56%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	0.2	29.4	16.4	25.4	2.3	36.3	138.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.0%

CLE +12.9%

CLE +10.1%

ATL -12.7%

CLE +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	15.4	15.5	104.5	87.8	104.0
season	16.2	15.6		104.6	98.1
opponent	15.1	15.3		108.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.8	16.2	16.3	19.4	16.8
ATL	14.8	14.5	15.7	16.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	75	77	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.05	16	-2	18	16.9	16.1	0.80	15.0	17.5	-2.54
LeBron James	89	90	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	0	14	16.8	0.0	16.82	15.4	0.0	15.37
Jeff McInnis	78	79	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	3	8	17.1	15.0	2.08	15.3	16.0	-0.72
Eric Snow	45	47	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.10	8	6	2	15.5	18.2	-2.65	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Robert Traylor	51	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	4	6	16.2	17.6	-1.37	15.5	15.2	0.32
Ira Newble	41	40	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	5	4	18.0	15.8	2.23	15.8	15.0	0.78
Drew Gooden	33	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	8	-2	17.2	16.6	0.57	15.6	15.2	0.33
Scott Williams	19	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	18	-22	17.3	16.7	0.56	16.2	15.2	1.00
Lucious Harris	14	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	14	-14	16.1	17.0	-0.89	15.8	15.3	0.50

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	20	20	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.03	2	-16	18	15.2	15.4	-0.15	15.9	17.1	-1.12
Josh Smith	9	9	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-14	14	17.8	15.1	2.68	14.2	17.1	-2.89
Josh Childress	16	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	-9	4	13.3	15.8	-2.50	13.9	17.4	-3.55
Kevin Willis	36	37	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-7	0	15.8	15.1	0.78	16.8	16.8	-0.06
Kenny Anderson	50	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-13	12	15.3	15.4	-0.15	17.9	15.5	2.35
Royal Ivey	30	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.09	-5	-9	4	16.6	14.7	1.90	16.2	17.2	-0.96
Jon Barry	44	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	-5	-4	15.3	15.4	-0.05	16.1	17.5	-1.35
Boris Diaw	51	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-2	-10	15.8	14.8	1.05	17.5	16.0	1.49
Al Harrington	70	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-4	-6	14.7	17.6	-2.94	17.3	15.1	2.18
Predrag Drobnjak	45	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	-5	-4	14.9	15.8	-0.87	16.7	16.9	-0.14
Antoine Walker	79	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.04	-14	0	-14	15.4	14.9	0.52	17.1	15.0	2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 93, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0	94.7%
GSW 104, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.3%
LAC 93, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.26,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.3%