NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	93		Excitement	6.2 [620]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (MIN): +39.2%
Dallas Mavericks	92		Comeback	2.4 [707]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -14.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.39	0.13	0.25	-0.02	18	67%	0.42	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.09	-0.00	21	46%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jeff Teague	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	78%	0.16	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Taj Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	4	67%	0.09	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.03	-0.04	17	24%	-0.14	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.02	0.10	-0.01	18	50%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	71%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	0.04	15	55%	0.06	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	0.05	16	44%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	31%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	25.5	15.3	23.3	1.8	29.0	120.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +27.4%

MIN +11.8%

DAL -3.7%

MIN +13.4%

MIN +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.2	14.7	95.9	94.8	107.5
season	15.3	15.4		111.8	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.4		108.1	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.5	14.6	14.3	17.0	14.5
DAL	14.7	13.7	17.6	15.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	85	85	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.42	6	-5	11	14.2	16.8	-2.66	15.5	12.7	2.78
Karl-Anthony Towns	88	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	-1	3	14.8	11.7	3.13	15.3	14.2	1.06
Jamal Crawford	58	60	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-5	11	15.9	12.5	3.37	15.0	15.4	-0.36
Tyus Jones	57	56	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.53	-2	3	-5	15.0	13.8	1.24	14.3	16.4	-2.04
Nemanja Bjelica	73	71	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.46	-7	8	-15	14.6	14.2	0.34	14.8	16.3	-1.48
Taj Gibson	65	65	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.17	-3	4	-7	13.4	16.8	-3.40	15.5	14.6	0.88
Jeff Teague	40	41	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	-2	5	13.8	15.0	-1.24	16.4	14.3	2.04
Gorgui Dieng	19	19	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	1	-1	14.0	14.6	-0.63	14.1	15.4	-1.34

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	42	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-3	5	16.0	14.6	1.39	13.5	15.3	-1.76
Doug McDermott	27	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.37	10	-11	21	12.8	16.1	-3.34	15.9	13.9	1.98
Dorian Finney-Smith	54	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	0	-1	15.6	14.6	1.04	13.7	15.6	-1.89
Dennis Smith Jr.	53	54	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-6	11	15.6	14.7	0.92	13.8	15.4	-1.60
Dirk Nowitzki	53	53	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	9	-19	15.8	14.4	1.38	13.3	15.9	-2.57
Aaron Harrison	30	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	7	-15	15.1	15.2	-0.17	15.0	14.3	0.71
Nerlens Noel	50	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.32	-1	0	-1	15.2	15.2	0.03	15.3	13.6	1.70
Maxi Kleber	49	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.56	7	-8	15	13.8	16.6	-2.77	15.8	13.2	2.59
Yogi Ferrell	57	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.48	2	-3	5	14.4	16.3	-1.85	15.7	12.8	2.94
Harrison Barnes	70	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.10	-11	10	-21	16.1	12.8	3.34	13.9	15.9	-1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, ATL 79	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.7%
TOR 83, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0	94.2%
CHI 103, OKC 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.01,0,0.04,0	93.9%