inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 83 Excitement5.4 [738] MVPHakeem Olajuwon (TOR): +13.9%
Miami Heat 74 Comeback2.8 [155] LVPAlonzo Mourning (MIA): -16.8%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hakeem Olajuwon0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.060.04-0.041062%0.1400.001100%0.00
Morris Peterson0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.030.06-0.001055%0.0900.00250%-0.01
Jerome Williams-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01150%-0.011-0.012100%0.02
Vince Carter-0.050,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.050.02-0.030.041362%0.033-0.0800%0.00
Alvin Williams-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.10-0.00-0.041225%-0.061-0.0100%0.00
Antonio Davis-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.021456%0.044-0.111385%0.03
Chris Childs-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.03410%-0.061-0.02250%-0.00
Dell Curry-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.01714%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Keon Clark-0.120,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.07-0.040.011038%-0.062-0.0510%-0.02

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brian Grant0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.01662%0.041-0.02450%-0.01
Eddie Jones0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.001559%0.113-0.09771%-0.01
Eddie House00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jim Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02956%0.053-0.0600%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.020.00250%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Vladimir Stepania0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.0000%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.040.031140%-0.1100.00333%-0.04
Chris Gatling0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.11-0.05-0.01517%-0.122-0.042100%0.02
Kendall Gill0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.12-0.05-0.01617%-0.063-0.1000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.13-0.05-0.01764%0.037-0.201173%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.62.526.816.025.02.534.2135.6
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +3.7%
TOR +6.5%
TOR +11.9%
TOR +28.6%
MIA -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game17.115.615.693.385.1102.3
season16.216.5100.396.6
opponent15.815.698.2100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.220.817.215.717.1
MIA13.616.015.517.915.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hakeem Olajuwon40400.57-0.070.640.1016-72318.116.21.8816.814.62.19
Antonio Davis81760.51-0.010.530.2881716.325.0-8.7215.218.6-3.43
Vince Carter51510.420.080.340.2272516.617.7-1.0315.016.5-1.51
Jerome Williams29280.400.100.290.1972518.616.32.2016.815.11.68
Chris Childs45420.340.160.170.1663317.416.80.5816.015.30.73
Morris Peterson55540.200.30-0.09-0.0381717.017.2-0.1815.915.20.74
Dell Curry34330.130.37-0.240.0145-116.017.7-1.6816.515.11.31
Alvin Williams64640.010.49-0.470.19-615-2117.515.91.6015.217.0-1.84
Keon Clark4647-0.080.58-0.660.06-514-1917.017.1-0.0514.816.7-1.91

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie House230.05-0.550.60-0.043-121515.515.6-0.159.017.3-8.35
Vladimir Stepania1619-0.14-0.360.21-0.05-3-6314.715.9-1.1719.716.43.33
Rod Strickland6970-0.15-0.350.19-0.274-131715.316.9-1.5716.718.4-1.65
Kendall Gill4546-0.21-0.290.08-0.09-4-5115.216.1-0.8317.516.60.85
Brian Grant7474-0.24-0.260.02-0.240-9915.615.7-0.0617.415.71.68
Alonzo Mourning5958-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.20-3-6315.416.1-0.6316.418.2-1.78
Jim Jackson5657-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.19-5-4-116.314.51.7517.815.72.15
Anthony Carter1819-0.35-0.15-0.190.03-134-1716.915.31.5718.416.71.65
Chris Gatling2324-0.38-0.12-0.260.06-156-2116.915.21.6716.617.2-0.61
Eddie Jones7375-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.19-90-915.416.9-1.4516.221.6-5.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 93, DAL 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,094.2%
SAS 117, OKC 1040.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%
SAS 107, DEN 960.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,093.8%