inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 117 Excitement5.8 [676] MVPMatt Bonner (SAS): +28.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder 104 Comeback2.7 [298] LVPGeorge Hill (SAS): -13.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Matt Bonner0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.230.060.0210105%0.2800.0000%0.00
Gary Neal0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.030.08-0.01462%0.1200.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.020.011567%0.143-0.056100%0.02
Richard Jefferson0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.031162%0.102-0.047100%0.02
Alonzo Gee0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Quinn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tiago Splitter-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.02733%-0.0100.00450%-0.01
Manu Ginobili-0.020,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.07-0.030.051454%0.001-0.0211100%0.04
DeJuan Blair-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.011139%0.012-0.051100%0.01
Antonio McDyess-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00442%-0.021-0.03475%-0.00
George Hill-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.04-0.041024%-0.102-0.04580%0.02

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff Green0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.00-0.01860%0.0600.00475%-0.00
Nenad Krstic0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.02-0.01475%0.071-0.0200%0.00
James Harden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.031064%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01175%0.0100.00250%-0.02
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00659%0.051-0.041070%-0.02
Morris Peterson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
DJ White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.020.031250%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01250%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.04-0.011743%-0.012-0.061090%0.04
Kevin Durant0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.030.002348%0.035-0.132100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game34.72.425.416.325.92.830.6138.0
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +21.5%
SAS +9.2%
SAS +4.6%
SAS +12.1%
SAS +2.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game15.113.315.5114.7103.0105.7
season15.515.0109.3108.8
opponent15.615.2105.4103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.814.416.016.215.1
OKC13.414.413.411.913.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
George Hill67690.55-0.050.60-0.0119-62514.416.5-2.1013.313.20.19
Matt Bonner51520.53-0.030.550.1114-11515.115.10.0414.212.41.79
Antonio McDyess39380.420.080.330.12103714.815.3-0.5013.912.90.97
Richard Jefferson81800.390.110.280.07112915.114.90.2813.213.7-0.54
Gary Neal39380.310.190.120.02103714.315.5-1.2113.413.20.17
Manu Ginobili67660.160.34-0.190.0158-315.713.91.8612.714.4-1.70
Tony Parker70690.150.35-0.20-0.0367-115.214.90.3012.914.0-1.09
Tim Duncan48490.120.38-0.26-0.0258-315.115.10.0113.413.10.31
Alonzo Gee320.000.50-0.500.09-316-1920.314.95.418.013.4-5.39
Chris Quinn320.000.50-0.500.09-316-1920.314.95.418.013.4-5.39
DeJuan Blair3434-0.020.52-0.55-0.02013-1315.215.00.2413.913.00.99
Tiago Splitter86-0.100.60-0.690.17-922-3114.715.1-0.3611.013.4-2.43

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson230.00-0.500.50-0.093-16198.013.4-5.3920.314.95.41
DJ White230.00-0.500.50-0.093-16198.013.4-5.3920.314.95.41
Jeff Green5453-0.03-0.470.45-0.113-161913.912.51.4114.715.5-0.75
Nick Collison2424-0.05-0.450.400.07-4-9513.513.20.2215.515.00.50
Nenad Krstic3838-0.11-0.390.27-0.03-3-10713.713.00.6815.115.10.04
Serge Ibaka5051-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.10-6-7114.112.51.5714.715.5-0.75
Thabo Sefolosha4446-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.10-7-6-112.513.9-1.3916.314.12.19
James Harden7978-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.05-11-2-913.113.9-0.7414.716.2-1.48
Eric Maynor4952-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.05-130-1313.413.20.2715.115.00.11
Kevin Durant8484-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.01-152-1713.014.5-1.4914.716.8-2.13
Russell Westbrook7978-0.48-0.02-0.45-0.04-152-1713.113.9-0.7415.015.2-0.17


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 110, MEM 960.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.6%
TOR 83, MIA 740.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,094.2%
POR 94, BOS 880.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.38,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,094.1%