NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	110		Excitement	5.2 [785]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +18.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	96		Comeback	2.6 [313]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -14.7%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.17	0.08	0.07	14	81%	0.20	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Brandan Wright	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.04	0.01	8	74%	0.16	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	8	72%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.11	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.01	0.03	10	61%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	3	33%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Shawn Marion	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.04	6	67%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	16	39%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	9	28%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.05	0.05	15	73%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	65%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.06	0.04	16	62%	0.14	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Calathes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	12	62%	0.12	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.05	0.02	6	60%	0.02	6	-0.16	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	33.2	0.2	26.3	2.8	26.6	115.0
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +19.6%

DAL +0.7%

DAL +11.3%

DAL +8.7%

DAL +9.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	15.8	15.7	15.1	120.9	104.3	105.2
season	15.3	16.4		109.0	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.0		103.4	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.4	15.4	14.6	17.9	15.8
MEM	18.9	13.4	16.0	14.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	42	45	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.04	22	-8	30	16.3	15.4	0.90	17.0	14.4	2.51
Brandan Wright	33	34	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-1	16	17.1	15.1	2.07	15.5	15.8	-0.32
Devin Harris	31	30	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	3	8	17.7	14.8	2.84	15.1	16.0	-0.85
Dirk Nowitzki	69	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	0	14	15.7	16.0	-0.26	14.5	18.9	-4.39
Jae Crowder	18	18	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.05	6	8	-2	17.7	15.3	2.32	16.0	15.6	0.41
Monta Ellis	76	76	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	10	-6	15.4	17.6	-2.15	15.5	16.6	-1.15
DeJuan Blair	17	17	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	10	-6	13.9	16.2	-2.29	16.5	15.5	0.98
Jose Calderon	60	62	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	11	-8	14.8	17.7	-2.84	16.0	15.1	0.85
Shawn Marion	64	64	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	19	-24	15.2	17.1	-1.91	16.3	14.3	1.94
Samuel Dalembert	45	46	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	18	-22	15.8	15.8	0.08	15.3	16.0	-0.65

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kosta Koufos	13	14	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.09	6	-20	26	18.8	15.2	3.69	16.5	15.7	0.82
Mike Miller	15	14	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.07	1	-15	16	15.5	15.7	-0.25	14.8	16.0	-1.20
Marc Gasol	74	74	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-6	-2	14.7	19.8	-5.17	15.5	17.1	-1.55
Darius Morris	13	12	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-8	2	17.5	15.4	2.17	18.8	15.3	3.49
Tayshaun Prince	45	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-4	-6	17.1	14.3	2.73	15.7	15.9	-0.11
Jon Leuer	18	18	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-6	-2	17.0	15.4	1.65	17.1	15.5	1.56
Nick Calathes	81	80	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-4	-6	15.3	18.5	-3.26	15.4	19.0	-3.64
Courtney Lee	74	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	16.2	13.4	2.84	15.8	15.7	0.14
James Johnson	50	50	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.01	-12	-2	-10	13.5	18.3	-4.85	16.1	15.4	0.66
Zach Randolph	77	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	-2	-10	16.0	13.9	2.16	15.6	16.6	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 93, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.4,0.4,0.22,0.11,0.18,0.17,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.8%
PHX 122, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
DEN 106, PHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.22,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.03,0.05,0	94.7%