inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 107 Excitement6.3 [517] MVPCarl Herrera (SAS): +9.1%
Denver Nuggets 96 Comeback2.5 [735] LVPDean Garrett (DEN): -10.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carl Herrera0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.020.07-0.00580%0.132-0.0400%0.00
Sean Elliott0.090,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.05-0.00856%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jaren Jackson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.040.00275%0.0700.0000%0.00
Vinny Del Negro0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.01-0.01660%0.051-0.02333%-0.01
Malik Rose0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Will Perdue0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.010.00287%0.062-0.06475%0.02
Avery Johnson0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.020.001359%0.093-0.08683%-0.01
Reggie Geary-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.02233%-0.0000.0020%-0.00
Tim Duncan-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00965%0.084-0.10560%-0.02
Monty Williams-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00647%-0.041-0.02580%-0.00
David Robinson-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.17,-0.13,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.130.04-0.021749%0.095-0.15956%-0.03
Cory Alexander-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.030.02340%-0.0800.004100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bobby Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.040.040.041963%0.094-0.065100%0.03
Danny Fortson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.04-0.00470%0.072-0.04250%-0.02
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.010.021060%0.021-0.01560%-0.01
Joe Wolf00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Johnny Newman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.02-0.001050%-0.0000.002100%0.02
Bryant Stith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.011257%0.042-0.06667%-0.02
Priest Lauderdale0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Anthony Goldwire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Eric Williams0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.011742%-0.032-0.06683%-0.01
Dean Garrett0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.11-0.03-0.03812%-0.1010.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.01.825.915.727.42.332.5130.6
league avg29.92.836.815.626.02.143.0157.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +56.2%
DEN -9.9%
SAS +20.2%
DEN -19.7%
SAS +3.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASDENNBASASDENNBA
this game15.115.515.6115.1101.1102.5
season15.916.2100.996.7
opponent15.215.9109.597.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.416.113.917.515.1
DEN13.316.616.116.815.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carl Herrera31330.400.100.300.0512-11316.814.22.6115.315.6-0.31
David Robinson59600.350.150.190.2347-315.514.31.2216.114.61.53
Cory Alexander27280.340.160.190.1765117.514.13.4117.014.92.02
Vinny Del Negro56590.310.190.120.1756-115.714.21.5115.515.6-0.12
Sean Elliott59620.310.190.120.1947-315.714.11.5915.515.7-0.25
Monty Williams47450.230.27-0.03-0.091101114.116.1-1.9215.315.8-0.47
Jaren Jackson20190.230.27-0.050.0856-114.315.3-0.9515.915.40.45
Tim Duncan68690.200.30-0.110.23-112-1314.516.6-2.1116.014.41.53
Avery Johnson66670.160.34-0.190.0156-114.117.5-3.4114.917.0-2.02
Will Perdue20210.070.43-0.37-0.0856-114.915.1-0.1914.016.0-1.91
Reggie Geary220.000.50-0.50-0.03110-97.015.3-8.272.515.8-13.32
Malik Rose1010-0.090.59-0.69-0.03-213-1512.015.5-3.4716.915.41.52

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Wolf17140.05-0.550.61-0.043-141714.215.8-1.6619.414.35.10
Priest Lauderdale12140.03-0.530.560.09-2-9715.215.6-0.4211.115.8-4.65
Anthony Goldwire2020-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-9715.915.40.5217.014.62.49
Eric Williams7371-0.20-0.300.09-0.200-111115.515.8-0.3714.616.7-2.14
Tony Battie5958-0.25-0.250.01-0.19-2-9715.415.7-0.3015.814.01.80
Dean Garrett6259-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.280-111116.014.61.4714.915.4-0.50
Bobby Jackson7573-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.05-9-2-715.415.9-0.5214.617.0-2.49
Johnny Newman4848-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.02-132-1515.016.1-1.1314.815.4-0.59
Bryant Stith7873-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.14-10-1-915.416.3-0.9215.513.61.91
Danny Fortson3135-0.520.02-0.530.07-209-2917.114.82.3214.715.3-0.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 112, BOS 1030.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,094.1%
LAL 112, PHI 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.0%
MIA 92, NYK 840.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,093.8%