NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	112		Excitement	6.9 [432]		MVP	Steve Blake (LAL): +15.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	98		Comeback	2.7 [283]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -22.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	10	70%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.01	7	74%	0.14	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.05
Kendall Marshall	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	58%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	13	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	14	53%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Ryan Kelly	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	12	62%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	15	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Shawne Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Robert Sacre	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	9	25%	-0.07	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.02	0.03	6	86%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	9	73%	0.23	4	-0.17	4	75%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	11	60%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Elliot Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.01
Lorenzo Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	14	54%	0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	12	38%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.03	-0.05	12	36%	0.01	4	-0.12	4	25%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.11	0.00	9	28%	-0.10	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.7	23.4	14.6	26.3	0.3	32.0	122.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +20.2%

LAL +6.1%

PHI -20.8%

LAL +42.9%

LAL +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHI	NBA	LAL	PHI	NBA
this game	13.4	13.8	15.1	104.7	93.3	105.2
season	14.0	13.7		102.9	98.4
opponent	15.0	14.8		108.4	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.6	14.5	12.4	15.7	13.4
PHI	12.8	13.2	14.4	15.0	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	56	54	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	2	10	13.2	13.6	-0.39	14.2	13.3	0.97
Kendall Marshall	45	41	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	3	8	12.7	13.9	-1.19	15.0	13.0	1.98
Wesley Johnson	95	94	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.12	11	3	8	13.4	13.2	0.17	13.7	14.3	-0.56
Jordan Hill	43	41	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	0	14	14.8	12.4	2.40	14.4	13.3	1.10
Ryan Kelly	71	69	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	7	0	12.7	14.7	-1.95	13.9	13.5	0.46
Steve Blake	82	81	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.07	8	6	2	13.9	11.9	1.99	13.3	15.4	-2.08
Shawne Williams	30	30	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	12	-10	11.6	14.1	-2.55	14.0	13.7	0.27
Steve Nash	62	64	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	11	-8	13.9	12.7	1.19	13.0	15.0	-1.98
Robert Sacre	51	51	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	12	-10	13.6	13.2	0.39	13.3	14.2	-0.97

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzo Brown	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-14	14	4.0	13.9	-9.87	7.0	13.5	-6.46
James Anderson	58	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.12	-5	-9	4	13.3	14.4	-1.11	13.9	12.8	1.13
Michael Carter-Williams	66	67	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.13	-11	-3	-8	13.5	14.3	-0.85	13.9	12.6	1.32
Spencer Hawes	74	75	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-11	8	14.0	13.2	0.77	13.1	14.1	-1.03
Elliot Williams	36	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-10	6	15.2	13.0	2.21	11.8	14.2	-2.39
Evan Turner	69	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-4	-6	13.0	15.2	-2.21	14.2	11.8	2.39
Thaddeus Young	74	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-3	-8	13.7	14.0	-0.32	13.8	12.6	1.20
Tony Wroten	39	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-11	8	14.3	13.5	0.85	12.6	13.9	-1.32
Hollis Thompson	47	47	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.21	-9	-5	-4	14.4	13.3	1.11	12.8	13.9	-1.13
Lavoy Allen	61	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	0	-14	13.8	13.8	-0.00	13.4	13.3	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 118, CHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.24,0.23,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
SAS 107, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.0%
MIN 93, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,0	93.8%