inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 118 Excitement5.8 [668] MVPGoran Dragic (MIA): +24.9%
Chicago Bulls 96 Comeback2.8 [363] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -21.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Goran Dragic0.250,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.140.09-0.011668%0.2510.00683%0.02
Josh Richardson0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.210.100.121292%0.2000.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0.140,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.120.060.051273%0.191-0.052100%0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.000.023100%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Hassan Whiteside0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.011346%0.0000.00250%-0.01
Udonis Haslem0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerald Green0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh McRoberts0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Johnson-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.02-0.020.011062%0.073-0.08475%-0.01
Justise Winslow-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.010.04750%-0.0300.0020%-0.03
Dwyane Wade-0.220,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.15-0.07-0.011526%-0.132-0.08475%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.040.00489%0.132-0.051100%0.01
Doug McDermott0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01-0.03956%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.011062%0.082-0.021100%0.01
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.01-0.00362%0.0200.00250%0.00
Cristiano Felicio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02125%0.0000.00250%0.00
Pau Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.01-0.031265%0.146-0.15250%-0.01
Tony Snell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.04383%-0.0110.0000%0.00
Aaron Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.001242%-0.021-0.022100%0.00
Nikola Mirotic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.04-0.00450%0.001-0.044100%0.02
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.021545%0.012-0.051100%0.00
E'Twaun Moore0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.000.00837%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.02.725.415.623.22.325.4119.6
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +22.2%
CHI -2.7%
MIA +12.2%
MIA +14.0%
MIA +4.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHINBAMIACHINBA
this game14.614.714.9120.497.0105.1
season15.514.8104.5103.7
opponent14.915.1105.1103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA16.313.314.814.114.6
CHI14.414.315.214.714.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luol Deng64660.56-0.060.62-0.2929-73614.414.9-0.4215.113.81.30
Hassan Whiteside63650.52-0.020.53-0.1924-22613.316.9-3.5414.814.40.37
Goran Dragic63630.470.030.45-0.3829-73614.115.4-1.3214.415.0-0.58
Justise Winslow68680.340.160.18-0.07148614.015.8-1.8014.415.3-0.88
Josh Richardson65660.300.200.10-0.08139414.215.4-1.2214.814.40.39
Dwyane Wade62640.230.27-0.040.17220-1815.113.61.4915.014.10.93
Joe Johnson58590.100.40-0.300.07121-2015.014.01.0314.814.50.26
Udonis Haslem650.000.50-0.500.00022-2218.314.34.0011.414.8-3.43
Gerald Green650.000.50-0.500.00022-2218.314.34.0011.414.8-3.43
Josh McRoberts650.000.50-0.500.00022-2218.314.34.0011.414.8-3.43
Amar'e Stoudemire2929-0.020.52-0.530.04-224-2616.613.82.8014.914.50.39

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cristiano Felicio780.00-0.500.50-0.031-23249.715.0-5.3218.214.33.99
Tony Snell2021-0.12-0.380.270.06-6-161012.815.1-2.3315.014.50.59
Mike Dunleavy5150-0.19-0.310.110.36-19-3-1614.714.60.1414.614.6-0.00
Pau Gasol6261-0.22-0.280.070.22-15-7-814.914.30.6214.115.3-1.19
Aaron Brooks4344-0.22-0.280.06-0.05-6-161014.514.8-0.3014.314.8-0.44
Nikola Mirotic4039-0.23-0.270.04-0.20-1-212015.614.01.5414.214.8-0.58
Taj Gibson5251-0.27-0.23-0.040.38-220-2214.614.7-0.0914.314.9-0.64
Justin Holiday7878-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.280-222214.515.1-0.5615.112.52.55
E'Twaun Moore5654-0.28-0.22-0.060.19-16-6-1014.814.50.3014.814.30.44
Bobby Portis3737-0.28-0.22-0.07-0.08-7-15814.314.9-0.6215.314.11.19
Doug McDermott4947-0.41-0.09-0.320.14-19-3-1615.513.81.7313.515.6-2.06


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.24,0.23,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 112, PHI 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.6,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,094.1%
TOR 83, MIA 740.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.55,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,093.7%
MIN 93, DAL 920.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.05,093.6%