NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Vancouver Grizzlies	112		Excitement	6.3 [551]		MVP	Mike Bibby (VAN): +30.3%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	3.1 [101]		LVP	Antoine Walker (BOS): -26.1%

Vancouver Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.30	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.17	0.11	-0.02	20	75%	0.37	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Othella Harrington	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.02	14	82%	0.23	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Obinna Ekezie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felipe Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryant Reeves	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	3	60%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Grant Long	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	7	45%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Michael Dickerson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.12	0.05	-0.01	15	42%	-0.02	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	8	52%	-0.05	3	-0.09	11	73%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	20	46%	0.05	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	6	42%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	63%	0.06	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Pervis Ellison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	0.02	16	59%	0.07	3	-0.10	7	71%	-0.00
Dana Barros	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	0.04	3	83%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.16	-0.07	0.03	18	42%	-0.05	7	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.8	32.2	16.3	26.6	2.4	31.6	136.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

VAN +32.5%

VAN +14.4%

VAN +3.1%

VAN +0.8%

BOS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	VAN	BOS	NBA	VAN	BOS	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.2	119.1	107.3	101.7
season	15.9	14.7		99.5	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.0		103.3	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
VAN	16.3	15.1	13.7	17.2	15.5
BOS	14.4	14.3	15.6	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Vancouver Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Long	57	58	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-6	21	16.3	14.3	2.01	14.4	15.4	-1.06
Othella Harrington	81	82	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.22	12	-3	15	15.5	15.9	-0.44	14.8	14.6	0.25
Michael Dickerson	80	82	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.35	5	4	1	15.6	15.4	0.13	15.2	12.4	2.84
Mike Bibby	84	85	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.23	9	0	9	15.8	13.3	2.51	14.6	16.1	-1.48
Dennis Scott	24	24	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	2	5	18.0	14.7	3.30	15.2	14.6	0.57
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	71	73	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	7	-5	14.7	18.1	-3.43	14.4	15.9	-1.43
Felipe Lopez	10	11	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	6	-3	14.3	15.7	-1.39	12.7	15.0	-2.32
Obinna Ekezie	10	10	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	9	-9	15.7	15.5	0.18	16.8	14.5	2.25
Milt Palacio	14	14	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	8	-7	14.7	15.7	-0.97	15.0	14.7	0.26
Bryant Reeves	39	41	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.12	-9	18	-27	14.5	16.3	-1.80	15.2	14.5	0.68

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	19	19	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-11	13	13.7	15.0	-1.30	16.0	15.4	0.57
Kenny Anderson	88	88	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.17	8	-17	25	14.6	16.6	-2.01	15.5	15.8	-0.31
Vitaly Potapenko	45	44	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.12	5	-14	19	16.0	13.7	2.29	15.5	15.6	-0.08
Pervis Ellison	9	8	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-7	5	15.2	14.7	0.49	13.5	15.7	-2.23
Doug Overton	2	1	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-7	5	21.0	14.6	6.35	14.0	15.6	-1.56
Walter McCarty	9	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-7	5	8.6	15.4	-6.87	16.4	15.5	0.91
Paul Pierce	70	69	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-11	13	15.5	12.8	2.65	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Eric Williams	54	53	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-3	-3	15.7	13.6	2.11	16.1	14.8	1.35
Calbert Cheaney	52	51	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	7	-23	14.6	15.0	-0.45	15.2	15.9	-0.71
Antoine Walker	87	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.22	-10	1	-11	14.5	17.3	-2.82	15.4	17.1	-1.73
Dana Barros	13	12	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	2	-13	12.4	15.2	-2.77	15.9	15.5	0.43
Tony Battie	32	32	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.20	-13	4	-17	14.3	15.0	-0.75	16.3	15.2	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.34,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 107, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.65,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.12,0.08,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0	94.1%
OKC 96, DET 94	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.09,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.04,0	94.0%
DEN 125, MEM 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.5,0.3,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%