NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	112		Excitement	6.1 [637]		MVP	Damion Lee (GSW): +27.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	103		Comeback	1.8 [975]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -11.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damion Lee	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.12	0.11	-0.04	13	71%	0.30	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quinn Cook	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.09	-0.01	12	70%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.03	-0.03	7	56%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Bell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	7	71%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Derrickson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jacob Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	18	46%	0.04	3	-0.07	10	60%	-0.04
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Draymond Green	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cheick Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.01	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.03	0.06	24	60%	0.13	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Christian Wood	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	21	55%	0.12	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	10	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.01	-0.03	22	44%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dairis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	7	36%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.6	26.5	15.3	26.3	2.4	21.3	116.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +40.0%

GSW +6.7%

GSW +9.3%

NOP -9.5%

GSW +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	NOP	NBA	GSW	NOP	NBA
this game	13.1	14.4	14.3	106.7	99.0	109.3
season	13.4	13.4		114.5	110.2
opponent	14.2	15.0		111.5	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	10.8	14.1	12.4	15.6	13.1
NOP	14.9	13.0	15.3	14.4	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Bell	29	28	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	2	5	15.6	12.2	3.33	15.5	14.0	1.52
Damion Lee	57	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.22	5	4	1	14.4	11.7	2.68	13.5	15.4	-1.92
Quinn Cook	54	53	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	1	7	12.5	13.8	-1.32	14.1	14.7	-0.63
DeMarcus Cousins	76	77	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	2	5	13.0	13.4	-0.37	14.5	14.2	0.32
Jacob Evans	78	79	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	5	-1	13.2	12.9	0.39	15.0	12.5	2.51
Shaun Livingston	35	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	4	1	13.9	12.8	1.07	13.0	15.2	-2.19
Alfonzo McKinnie	64	64	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	2	5	12.1	14.8	-2.65	15.5	12.7	2.76
Kevon Looney	29	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	7	-5	13.4	13.0	0.37	14.2	14.5	-0.32
Jonas Jerebko	30	30	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	7	-5	13.7	12.9	0.83	12.7	15.1	-2.42
Marcus Derrickson	10	9	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	11	-13	18.0	12.6	5.37	13.1	14.5	-1.44
Stephen Curry	21	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	8	-7	11.1	13.7	-2.56	15.3	14.2	1.08
Draymond Green	42	42	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	10	-11	10.9	14.7	-3.77	14.8	14.2	0.61

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	57	58	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-7	5	14.3	14.6	-0.24	12.2	14.4	-2.21
Kenrich Williams	74	73	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-9	9	14.9	13.3	1.58	13.1	13.3	-0.20
Jahlil Okafor	80	80	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.18	-2	-7	5	15.2	11.8	3.42	13.3	12.5	0.82
Christian Wood	77	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-5	1	13.9	16.0	-2.08	12.7	14.3	-1.61
Ian Clark	83	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-2	-5	14.7	13.1	1.60	12.7	14.7	-2.00
Dairis Bertans	53	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	13.8	15.1	-1.25	14.6	11.5	3.14
Cheick Diallo	51	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	3	-15	14.0	14.8	-0.83	13.5	12.8	0.70
Solomon Hill	45	46	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	2	-13	13.9	14.8	-0.86	13.5	12.9	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 106, ORL 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.02,0	95.1%
NOK 114, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
ORL 97, NYK 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%