NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	114		Excitement	4.5 [917]		MVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): +18.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	103		Comeback	1.7 [590]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (MEM): -8.5%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0.16	0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.00	15	70%	0.19	3	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Rasual Butler	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	0.00	9	83%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	9	89%	0.14	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	13	62%	0.15	2	-0.07	11	100%	0.03
Jannero Pargo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	4	92%	0.08	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	58%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Devin Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	7	36%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.02	0.03	14	82%	0.24	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	69%	0.10	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	6	86%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Alexander Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.02	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarence Kinsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	7	19%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lawrence Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	13	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	11	55%	0.05	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.5	24.4	16.6	26.3	1.8	27.2	122.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOK +28.0%

NOK +4.4%

NOK +5.0%

NOK +6.9%

NOK +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	MEM	NBA	NOK	MEM	NBA
this game	16.3	15.3	15.4	125.3	113.2	104.5
season	16.0	15.1		102.8	105.1
opponent	15.1	15.3		110.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	15.8	17.4	15.1	17.2	16.3
MEM	15.5	16.9	13.2	16.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Desmond Mason	63	64	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-9	29	15.7	17.8	-2.13	15.2	15.6	-0.31
Tyson Chandler	77	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.04	16	-5	21	16.4	15.9	0.45	14.8	18.5	-3.73
David West	77	77	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.28	3	8	-5	16.4	16.0	0.36	14.8	18.5	-3.73
Rasual Butler	41	40	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	5	1	17.3	15.5	1.75	16.3	14.6	1.76
Chris Paul	70	68	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.28	0	11	-11	15.7	18.4	-2.76	14.6	17.4	-2.74
Jannero Pargo	36	39	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	3	5	18.0	15.2	2.80	16.2	14.7	1.56
Devin Brown	65	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	10	-9	15.9	17.4	-1.51	15.2	15.7	-0.59
Marc Jackson	26	26	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.05	1	10	-9	16.5	16.2	0.22	18.3	14.2	4.10

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	24	24	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.24	10	-21	31	14.8	15.5	-0.75	16.8	16.1	0.71
Alexander Johnson	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	10.4	15.7	-5.32	16.4	16.3	0.13
Lawrence Roberts	11	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-12	13	13.7	15.6	-1.84	17.7	16.1	1.62
Rudy Gay	37	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	-4	-3	16.8	14.3	2.48	17.6	15.4	2.14
Dahntay Jones	23	23	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-14	17	15.5	15.3	0.24	15.7	16.5	-0.82
Junior Harrington	33	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.31	3	-14	17	14.5	15.8	-1.39	17.7	15.6	2.13
Chucky Atkins	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	3	-17	15.2	15.7	-0.54	15.8	17.4	-1.56
Tarence Kinsey	65	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-9	7	14.9	16.5	-1.68	16.1	16.8	-0.74
Mike Miller	52	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	5	-21	15.6	15.0	0.55	15.7	17.2	-1.49
Pau Gasol	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	3	-17	15.8	13.8	1.97	16.3	16.2	0.14
Hakim Warrick	69	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.07	-22	11	-33	15.8	13.8	2.07	15.8	17.7	-1.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 99, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MIA 109, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0	95.1%
HOU 86, IND 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.15,0.09,0	94.7%