inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 99 Excitement4.5 [894] MVPCaron Butler (WAS): +8.4%
Chicago Bulls 87 Comeback2.5 [229] LVPJoakim Noah (CHI): -8.7%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0.080,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.030.021460%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Darius Songaila0.050,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.02-0.041164%0.114-0.0600%0.00
Brendan Haywood0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.080.010.041664%0.103-0.067100%0.03
Roger Mason Jr.0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.02878%0.053-0.022100%0.00
Dominic McGuire-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Andray Blatche-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.01-0.03643%0.022-0.022100%0.01
Antonio Daniels-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.00750%-0.012-0.03475%-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.08-0.01-0.061537%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Nick Young-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.00764%0.0600.0000%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.050.010.001257%0.0510.004100%0.02
Ben Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.070.000.041262%0.051-0.02580%-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.02837%0.0100.0000%0.00
Demetris Nichols0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luol Deng0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.02-0.000.01850%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Tyrus Thomas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.020.041055%0.022-0.04250%-0.02
Aaron Gray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.03425%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.000.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Andres Nocioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.020.00736%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00435%-0.041-0.041242%-0.10
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.428.416.324.32.827.0123.5
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +19.1%
WAS +10.7%
WAS +32.0%
CHI -10.9%
CHI -1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCHINBAWASCHINBA
this game17.914.115.4110.096.7105.7
season16.115.0106.8102.2
opponent15.515.5105.4107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS18.218.916.817.717.9
CHI13.716.215.211.614.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Darius Songaila58580.66-0.160.82-0.1026-144018.017.70.3615.511.63.95
Antonio Daniels65650.58-0.080.67-0.0321-93018.616.22.3914.912.02.87
Caron Butler78790.52-0.020.540.23102817.719.1-1.3814.014.6-0.60
DeShawn Stevenson67670.400.100.300.2266018.117.20.9614.513.01.43
Andray Blatche48490.330.170.170.1375217.018.9-1.8613.414.9-1.50
Roger Mason Jr.36360.100.40-0.290.10012-1216.718.7-1.9412.315.3-2.96
Brendan Haywood67660.070.43-0.360.19-416-2018.117.30.7913.316.4-3.14
Dominic McGuire15140.010.49-0.48-0.02111-1019.317.61.7313.814.2-0.39
Nick Young1616-0.180.68-0.860.03-719-2617.617.9-0.3214.414.00.40

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Aaron Gray23250.03-0.530.55-0.2710-223212.614.6-2.0217.917.9-0.01
Demetris Nichols34-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-12129.314.3-4.9422.717.75.09
Chris Duhon2727-0.06-0.440.38-0.184-162013.614.3-0.6919.417.32.12
Andres Nocioni3031-0.13-0.370.23-0.07-2-10815.913.22.6817.618.0-0.37
Kirk Hinrich4849-0.16-0.340.190.08-8-4-414.413.80.5217.518.4-0.88
Thabo Sefolosha5858-0.26-0.24-0.010.07-11-1-1014.513.31.1917.518.6-1.09
Tyrus Thomas5048-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-8-4-413.015.5-2.5417.418.5-1.06
Luol Deng3435-0.33-0.17-0.160.02-120-1214.813.71.1018.917.21.72
Ben Gordon5151-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.13-7-5-213.714.7-1.0317.618.3-0.65
Larry Hughes6361-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.24-7-5-213.914.7-0.8517.718.3-0.67
Joakim Noah6361-0.530.03-0.550.03-197-2614.812.52.3318.017.70.24


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOK 114, MEM 1030.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.4%
CHI 112, CLE 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.4%
CHA 108, MIL 1010.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,094.0%