NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	108		Excitement	5.7 [679]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +14.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	1.8 [339]		LVP	Larry Sanders (MIL): -16.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.03	-0.00	6	100%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.05	0.02	10	71%	0.17	2	-0.05	8	87%	-0.00
Kemba Walker	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	18	59%	0.17	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.02
PJ Hairston	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.05
Brian Roberts	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Al Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.05	11	55%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12	-0.14	-0.00	-0.02	9	21%	-0.08	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.19	0.01	0.13	21	74%	0.16	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	7	75%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	79%	0.11	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	43%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	6	23%	-0.03	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	6	28%	-0.09	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	30.4	15.5	28.4	2.5	38.4	142.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +8.2%

CHA +7.6%

CHA +8.2%

CHA +23.3%

CHA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIL	NBA	CHA	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	13.3	15.1	106.9	101.0	104.2
season	15.6	14.5		98.9	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.1		101.0	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.0	15.8	16.7	15.0	15.3
MIL	12.7	14.8	13.9	12.3	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kemba Walker	74	75	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	-2	11	15.4	15.0	0.43	13.0	14.2	-1.16
Bismack Biyombo	36	35	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-5	17	13.1	16.5	-3.38	14.3	12.8	1.47
PJ Hairston	38	37	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	-4	15	13.4	16.5	-3.12	13.9	13.0	0.93
Gary Neal	44	43	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.03	11	-4	15	14.0	16.3	-2.29	13.3	13.4	-0.13
Marvin Williams	59	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.25	2	5	-3	14.1	17.1	-3.04	12.9	13.9	-0.97
Cody Zeller	46	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	4	-1	15.8	14.9	0.82	13.4	13.3	0.06
Gerald Henderson	64	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	8	-9	16.1	13.9	2.25	13.0	14.0	-1.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	56	54	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.31	-7	14	-21	16.7	13.6	3.14	13.4	13.2	0.17
Al Jefferson	61	62	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.17	-3	10	-13	17.5	12.0	5.49	13.1	13.6	-0.49
Brian Roberts	27	25	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.13	-2	9	-11	15.0	15.4	-0.43	14.2	13.0	1.16

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny O'Bryant	13	13	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-10	13	13.5	13.3	0.15	14.5	15.4	-0.98
Kendall Marshall	26	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.08	1	-8	9	15.2	12.7	2.57	15.7	15.2	0.45
Larry Sanders	57	58	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-9	11	12.9	13.9	-1.05	15.9	14.5	1.44
Jerryd Bayless	45	47	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.17	1	-8	9	13.8	13.0	0.81	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Ersan Ilyasova	36	37	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.14	-1	-6	5	12.7	13.7	-1.04	13.8	16.2	-2.42
O.J. Mayo	45	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-3	-1	13.0	13.6	-0.60	15.6	15.1	0.59
Zaza Pachulia	35	35	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	0	-7	13.7	13.1	0.64	14.6	15.7	-1.10
Jared Dudley	57	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-1	-5	13.6	12.9	0.70	16.2	14.1	2.13
Khris Middleton	42	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	3	-13	14.3	12.6	1.69	13.7	16.5	-2.82
Giannis Antetokounmpo	72	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	13.1	14.0	-0.93	16.3	13.2	3.11
Brandon Knight	72	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	1	-9	12.5	15.5	-3.01	15.4	15.0	0.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 114, NYK 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.2%
WAS 114, ORL 93	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
WAS 99, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.68,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%