NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	114		Excitement	5.6 [690]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (ORL): +16.7%
New York Knicks	102		Comeback	1.8 [853]		LVP	Larry Hughes (NYK): -11.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.05	15	74%	0.21	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.05	0.03	9	73%	0.18	2	-0.04	15	53%	-0.08
Mickael Pietrus	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	5	58%	0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
JJ Redick	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	12	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.01	20	47%	-0.05	1	-0.02	9	44%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.02	0.00	7	94%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
David Lee	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	18	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	6	92%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.12	-0.01	0.09	17	71%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	15	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	43%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	9	27%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.4	27.3	17.6	26.2	2.6	33.2	136.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +34.6%

NYK -5.3%

ORL +14.8%

ORL +3.2%

ORL +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	13.8	15.3	120.0	106.2	106.0
season	15.4	14.7		110.1	105.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		109.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.5	18.4	16.5	15.5	16.4
NYK	12.2	16.7	14.2	12.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	82	82	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.00	22	-10	32	15.8	19.8	-4.03	13.7	14.4	-0.65
Vince Carter	74	74	0.64	-0.14	0.77	-0.01	22	-10	32	15.2	20.4	-5.15	13.4	15.1	-1.73
Rashard Lewis	61	62	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-4	20	16.0	17.1	-1.17	13.9	13.6	0.33
Jason Williams	74	76	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	0	12	16.6	15.7	0.90	13.1	16.6	-3.53
Mickael Pietrus	46	46	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.12	7	5	2	16.4	16.3	0.04	13.4	14.1	-0.71
Matt Barnes	49	50	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	7	-2	16.3	16.4	-0.04	14.1	13.4	0.71
Brandon Bass	4	4	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	10	-8	18.7	16.3	2.49	12.0	13.9	-1.88
Anthony Johnson	21	20	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	12	-12	15.7	16.6	-0.90	16.6	13.1	3.53
Ryan Anderson	32	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.20	-9	21	-30	16.7	16.2	0.53	13.3	14.0	-0.71
JJ Redick	21	22	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.16	-10	22	-32	20.4	15.2	5.15	15.1	13.4	1.73
Marcin Gortat	11	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.06	-7	19	-26	20.9	15.8	5.14	15.9	13.5	2.38

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	54	55	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-8	4	14.6	12.8	1.76	17.0	15.5	1.41
Jared Jeffries	31	31	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	13.3	14.0	-0.76	16.3	16.4	-0.16
Nate Robinson	54	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-7	2	13.2	14.6	-1.37	16.1	16.7	-0.64
Larry Hughes	62	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-3	-6	14.2	13.1	1.11	17.0	15.2	1.86
Danilo Gallinari	70	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-5	-2	13.4	14.8	-1.38	16.2	16.8	-0.59
Chris Duhon	64	62	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-4	-4	13.7	14.0	-0.34	16.2	16.6	-0.36
David Lee	71	71	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-4	-4	14.4	12.2	2.11	16.8	15.0	1.89
Wilson Chandler	74	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.04	-12	0	-12	13.5	14.9	-1.38	15.4	19.7	-4.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, CHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
CHA 108, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	94.2%
DET 89, PHX 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0	94.1%