NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	112		Excitement	4.9 [863]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): +30.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Comeback	2.2 [449]		LVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): -9.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0.30	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.27	0.07	0.04	18	77%	0.30	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	8	71%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.03	0.04	11	74%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chandler Hutchison	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Blakeney	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Rawle Alkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.02	8	83%	0.11	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	58%	0.02	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	31%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille Harrison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	13	65%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	14	62%	0.09	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	53%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	54%	0.04	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Jalen Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaron Blossomgame	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	0.06	10	57%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.17	-0.01	-0.07	16	19%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.0	27.2	15.4	26.2	1.8	28.0	123.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +38.3%

CHI +11.6%

CLE -2.4%

CHI +2.2%

CHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	16.7	14.3	124.4	100.0	109.3
season	14.6	15.5		104.2	106.3
opponent	13.9	14.3		116.5	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.2	14.2	15.9	15.6	14.9
CLE	16.4	15.8	16.9	17.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	65	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.01	21	-1	22	14.9	15.1	-0.22	16.9	16.3	0.53
Kris Dunn	56	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.13	21	-1	22	13.9	16.7	-2.82	18.3	14.3	3.98
Lauri Markkanen	61	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.05	11	9	2	14.8	15.1	-0.32	17.0	16.0	1.02
Ryan Arcidiacono	63	64	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	10	0	15.0	14.7	0.31	16.4	17.4	-0.94
Shaquille Harrison	43	48	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.06	9	11	-2	15.7	14.2	1.53	14.7	18.9	-4.22
Wendell Carter Jr.	36	35	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	17	-14	13.7	15.7	-2.00	18.9	15.4	3.47
Chandler Hutchison	59	62	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	12	-4	15.7	13.5	2.19	15.7	18.9	-3.21
Antonio Blakeney	25	26	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.10	8	12	-4	14.7	15.0	-0.34	17.2	16.5	0.62
Robin Lopez	38	38	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.18	7	13	-6	15.3	14.6	0.73	16.3	17.0	-0.71
Rawle Alkins	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	19.5	14.8	4.68	15.0	16.8	-1.76
Cristiano Felicio	2	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	19.5	14.8	4.68	15.0	16.8	-1.76

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	5	4	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.04	6	-26	32	14.2	16.9	-2.65	18.7	14.7	4.01
Jalen Jones	3	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-19	18	15.0	16.8	-1.76	19.5	14.8	4.68
Ante Zizic	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.10	-7	-13	6	16.0	17.0	-1.01	15.3	14.8	0.57
Alec Burks	54	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-16	12	17.7	15.3	2.41	14.5	15.6	-1.15
Jaron Blossomgame	43	42	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-9	-2	17.1	16.3	0.81	14.9	15.0	-0.12
Collin Sexton	62	59	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.14	-13	-7	-6	17.7	14.7	2.98	14.7	15.4	-0.76
Jordan Clarkson	61	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-10	0	15.7	18.7	-3.07	14.8	15.2	-0.36
Matthew Dellavedova	37	37	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.04	-11	-9	-2	14.8	18.0	-3.17	15.7	14.4	1.33
David Nwaba	40	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-8	-4	15.3	17.8	-2.44	15.1	14.8	0.27
Cedi Osman	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.04	-18	-2	-16	17.6	14.2	3.44	15.0	14.6	0.38
Larry Nance Jr.	63	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	-1	-18	17.2	15.7	1.54	14.5	15.9	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 103, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
CHH 95, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.25,0.31,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
NOK 114, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.21,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%