inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 103 Excitement4.6 [941] MVPJoe Johnson (ATL): +17.4%
Charlotte Bobcats 87 Comeback2.4 [328] LVPStephen Jackson (CHA): -17.9%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Joe Johnson0.170,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.180.010.011876%0.203-0.03683%-0.01
Mike Bibby0.120,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.030.021067%0.1200.001100%0.01
Maurice Evans0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.03-0.01656%0.0800.004100%0.03
Zaza Pachulia0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.05-0.01564%0.102-0.03475%-0.00
Josh Smith0.020,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.001455%0.052-0.0310%-0.01
Damien Wilkins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.02350%0.0110.002100%0.01
Jason Collins0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jordan Crawford0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Etan Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jamal Crawford-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.000.021345%-0.013-0.075100%0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
D.J. Augustin0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.080.04-0.031757%0.1600.001100%0.01
Nazr Mohammed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.040.03-0.02956%0.0900.0000%0.00
Shaun Livingston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01664%0.0400.00250%-0.01
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.00757%0.0300.0000%0.00
Boris Diaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.000.06775%0.0300.002100%0.01
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.04-0.010.023100%0.072-0.071100%0.00
Matt Carroll0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.02250%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Derrick Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dominic McGuire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.000.021100%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Gerald Wallace0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.020.01932%-0.0800.00475%-0.00
Stephen Jackson0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.15-0.06-0.041433%-0.075-0.11250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.02.326.915.023.01.827.2118.3
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +16.7%
ATL +15.4%
ATL +5.1%
ATL +8.7%
ATL +4.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLCHANBAATLCHANBA
this game17.116.015.5117.0101.2105.7
season16.516.2104.0102.3
opponent15.515.5106.5105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL16.317.513.921.117.1
CHA17.214.517.414.816.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Zaza Pachulia53500.56-0.060.630.0617-11816.318.3-1.9616.914.82.08
Maurice Evans56520.52-0.020.530.051601617.616.31.2416.016.0-0.02
Mike Bibby68680.460.040.42-0.0417-11816.419.5-3.1015.617.4-1.84
Joe Johnson64630.420.080.34-0.021511416.319.2-2.9516.115.60.58
Jamal Crawford64630.340.160.190.1188017.815.22.5515.417.7-2.27
Josh Smith64630.160.34-0.18-0.0888017.416.40.9417.013.33.66
Damien Wilkins47470.150.35-0.200.03412-817.616.51.1515.616.5-0.91
Etan Thomas12130.060.44-0.370.00214-1219.316.72.5813.916.4-2.43
Jordan Crawford220.000.50-0.50-0.03115-1422.017.05.015.016.2-11.25
Jason Collins109-0.180.68-0.850.06-824-3216.417.2-0.7918.015.82.25

Charlotte Bobcats
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dominic McGuire1110-0.00-0.500.500.03-1-151410.216.8-6.6619.316.82.48
Kwame Brown2930-0.07-0.430.350.04-4-12816.315.80.4315.717.8-2.18
Eduardo Najera1110-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-12814.916.1-1.2420.316.73.61
Matt Carroll1211-0.11-0.390.29-0.08-1-151414.716.2-1.4420.116.73.42
Boris Diaw6163-0.12-0.380.26-0.03-3-131016.614.62.0117.217.00.20
Shaun Livingston3131-0.16-0.340.170.04-7-9213.817.2-3.4119.815.64.17
Gerald Wallace6366-0.17-0.330.150.15-11-5-616.714.22.4817.017.3-0.23
Derrick Brown1312-0.18-0.320.14-0.12-2-141212.616.6-3.9714.117.6-3.50
Gerald Henderson3132-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.19-4-12816.715.61.1817.716.80.87
D.J. Augustin6265-0.37-0.13-0.250.01-13-3-1017.013.23.8016.119.9-3.81
Nazr Mohammed3941-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.12-9-7-216.715.41.3316.317.8-1.52
Stephen Jackson6769-0.530.03-0.560.08-215-2616.016.1-0.0816.917.7-0.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 112, CLE 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
TOR 100, NJN 900.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,094.8%
NJN 91, NOH 700.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.52,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,094.1%