NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	5.6 [687]		MVP	Chris Bosh (TOR): +15.5%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	2.4 [620]		LVP	Keyon Dooling (NJN): -10.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Bosh	0.16	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.07	-0.01	27	62%	0.26	6	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.02	-0.01	11	65%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Sonny Weems	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Andrea Bargnani	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	5	42%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Reggie Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	12	67%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	19	50%	0.10	5	-0.14	6	83%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	11	46%	0.01	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.01
Yi Jianlian	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	10	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	30.0	15.5	23.8	2.0	30.3	130.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +46.1%

TOR +0.2%

TOR +1.2%

TOR +4.1%

NJN -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	15.2	16.5	15.3	108.7	100.0	106.0
season	15.0	15.9		109.6	98.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.3	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.1	13.6	14.2	19.5	15.2
NJN	16.6	15.9	17.7	15.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	80	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	0	10	15.2	15.0	0.24	15.9	19.5	-3.60
Jose Calderon	44	43	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.03	12	-2	14	13.5	16.8	-3.31	17.4	15.6	1.89
DeMar DeRozan	36	36	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	-3	16	13.6	16.2	-2.58	18.0	15.4	2.53
Andrea Bargnani	49	51	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	0	10	15.2	15.2	0.04	17.0	15.8	1.21
Antoine Wright	43	42	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.13	5	5	0	13.2	16.9	-3.71	16.9	16.1	0.84
Hedo Turkoglu	67	65	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	7	-4	16.1	12.8	3.25	15.4	19.2	-3.80
Sonny Weems	38	37	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.19	-1	11	-12	17.4	13.7	3.68	16.3	16.5	-0.22
Amir Johnson	31	30	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	9	-8	15.7	14.9	0.81	15.9	16.7	-0.78
Reggie Evans	23	20	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	9	-8	15.0	15.3	-0.28	19.2	15.7	3.59
Jarrett Jack	49	49	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.20	-4	14	-18	16.4	13.8	2.66	15.0	18.1	-3.11

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Douglas-Roberts	23	24	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.12	6	-16	22	17.1	16.2	0.85	16.3	14.8	1.52
Jarvis Hayes	50	50	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-13	16	15.4	17.8	-2.46	16.3	13.9	2.40
Josh Boone	15	16	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.04	-2	-8	6	18.8	16.0	2.81	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Kris Humphries	19	20	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-7	4	16.0	16.6	-0.58	15.4	15.2	0.25
Devin Harris	67	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.17	-2	-8	6	16.0	17.8	-1.78	15.7	13.6	2.13
Keyon Dooling	23	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-2	-6	17.8	16.0	1.78	13.6	15.7	-2.13
Yi Jianlian	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-3	-4	16.6	16.0	0.58	15.2	15.4	-0.25
Brook Lopez	75	76	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.16	-8	-2	-6	16.0	18.8	-2.81	15.3	14.9	0.40
Courtney Lee	42	44	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	4	-18	18.0	15.1	2.85	14.2	16.1	-1.92
Terrence Williams	65	66	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.09	-15	5	-20	16.1	17.4	-1.31	14.6	16.7	-2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.68,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 103, CHA 87	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.26,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
NYK 100, MIA 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.28,0.41,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0,0	94.5%
MEM 105, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0	94.3%