inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 99 Excitement5.6 [714] MVPLuol Deng (CHI): +24.0%
Detroit Pistons 79 Comeback1.8 [398] LVPCarlos Boozer (CHI): -13.5%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0.240,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.180.080.021771%0.2400.004100%0.03
Taj Gibson0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.190.040.021382%0.241-0.03250%0.00
Tony Snell0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.02-0.02972%0.123-0.0500%0.00
Joakim Noah0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.010.021152%0.041-0.03333%-0.03
Nazr Mohammed0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Erik Murphy0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kirk Hinrich-0.050,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.021057%0.064-0.113100%0.02
Marquis Teague-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.0030%-0.051-0.0400%0.00
Mike Dunleavy-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.02425%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
Carlos Boozer-0.140,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.04-0.011127%-0.062-0.0700%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.110.080.001662%0.221-0.02887%0.06
Josh Harrellson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00367%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kyle Singler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.010.001100%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Tony Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0000.0020%0.00
Gigi Datome0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.05-0.02-0.06542%0.052-0.06250%-0.01
Charlie Villanueva0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.0240%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.01-0.02714%-0.071-0.0200%0.00
Josh Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.05-0.031246%0.014-0.1040%-0.02
Andre Drummond0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.06-0.001045%-0.022-0.0720%-0.06
Brandon Jennings0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.04-0.060.001344%-0.052-0.051100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.22.426.518.425.42.532.2128.7
league avg24.72.329.616.026.92.333.4136.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +42.3%
CHI +2.9%
DET -4.7%
CHI +10.1%
DET -0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIDETNBACHIDETNBA
this game16.515.515.1108.888.8105.2
season16.315.0101.1104.7
opponent15.015.3108.499.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI17.914.814.119.416.5
DET14.016.515.915.715.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luol Deng78760.65-0.150.80-0.0524-42816.217.9-1.7115.714.80.89
Tony Snell70690.400.100.30-0.101731416.217.3-1.0715.615.40.17
Joakim Noah62610.400.100.29-0.071641216.616.20.3716.014.51.50
Taj Gibson51490.390.110.28-0.141821617.215.51.7215.415.7-0.31
Kirk Hinrich70680.290.210.07-0.12146816.715.61.1015.714.80.94
Marquis Teague21210.210.29-0.070.04614-815.616.7-1.1014.815.7-0.94
Nazr Mohammed13120.200.30-0.09-0.00713-616.916.40.5416.215.40.74
Carlos Boozer53530.010.49-0.48-0.02119-1815.517.8-2.2815.016.2-1.21
Erik Murphy330.000.50-0.500.06-222-2416.016.5-0.4814.315.6-1.24
Mike Dunleavy3433-0.050.55-0.59-0.02-121-2217.515.81.7015.215.7-0.60

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Charlie Villanueva880.07-0.570.64-0.054-242816.115.50.6614.216.7-2.42
Tony Mitchell340.00-0.500.50-0.062-222414.315.6-1.2417.716.41.35
Gigi Datome340.00-0.500.50-0.062-222414.315.6-1.2417.716.41.35
Jonas Jerebko1818-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-191814.315.8-1.5020.115.64.55
Josh Harrellson1716-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-161213.915.9-1.9616.716.40.35
Will Bynum2728-0.20-0.300.10-0.11-3-171414.116.1-1.9817.715.91.86
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope3537-0.22-0.280.05-0.05-6-14816.115.20.9215.517.1-1.60
Kyle Singler3939-0.27-0.23-0.040.14-14-6-814.716.2-1.4418.415.03.41
Rodney Stuckey5454-0.28-0.22-0.050.14-14-6-815.216.1-0.9217.115.51.60
Josh Smith6465-0.28-0.22-0.060.22-17-3-1415.814.80.9615.518.8-3.23
Brandon Jennings6263-0.30-0.20-0.100.20-17-3-1416.114.11.9815.917.7-1.86
Greg Monroe4245-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.04-12-8-416.714.52.2014.918.0-3.07
Andre Drummond7374-0.48-0.02-0.450.11-200-2015.814.51.2516.317.0-0.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.3,0.36,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MEM 92, UTA 840.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.14,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,093.9%
IND 103, PHI 920.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0,093.8%
GSW 104, DEN 960.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,093.5%