NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	127		Excitement	4.3 [950]		MVP	Jamison Battle (TOR): +16.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	109		Comeback	1.2 [1003]		LVP	Jamal Shead (TOR): -10.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamison Battle	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.02	11	73%	0.16	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orlando Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.11	0.01	0.04	7	81%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cole Swider	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	22	60%	0.09	3	-0.03	8	37%	-0.04
Jonathan Mogbo	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.02	0.03	8	81%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ja'Kobe Walter	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.06	11	65%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
A.J. Lawson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Barnes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	12	35%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ochai Agbaji	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Shead	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.03	14	37%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	15	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Jalen Hood-Schifino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.04	8	86%	0.15	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.02
Phillip Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adem Bona	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.02	7	78%	0.08	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Jared Butler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	0.08	9	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Bagley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.02	0.10	18	64%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Alex Reese	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	17	35%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	24.0	13.8	26.2	2.4	24.3	119.4
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +33.9%

PHI -7.2%

PHI -1.6%

TOR +24.9%

TOR +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	12.8	13.5	14.4	115.5	100.0	113.0
season	13.9	15.0		109.0	110.4
opponent	14.2	14.6		116.8	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	11.5	11.8	13.6	14.8	12.8
PHI	14.2	12.2	13.1	14.5	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
RJ Barrett	68	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	-0.08	19	-1	20	11.7	14.6	-2.92	13.8	13.0	0.80
Orlando Robinson	56	53	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.13	18	0	18	11.8	13.9	-2.18	14.1	12.9	1.18
Ochai Agbaji	56	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.09	16	2	14	12.8	12.9	-0.14	14.6	12.4	2.19
Jamison Battle	57	56	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.12	16	2	14	13.4	12.2	1.14	13.5	13.4	0.14
Scottie Barnes	67	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	6	6	11.6	14.7	-3.13	14.1	12.6	1.52
Jamal Shead	67	66	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	16	-14	12.6	13.2	-0.61	12.8	14.5	-1.72
Cole Swider	38	40	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	11	-4	14.1	12.2	1.90	13.7	13.3	0.41
Ja'Kobe Walter	77	79	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.11	1	17	-16	13.3	11.7	1.58	12.7	15.4	-2.67
Jonathan Mogbo	54	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	18	-18	13.9	11.8	2.18	12.9	14.1	-1.18
A.J. Lawson	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	19	-20	19.1	12.2	6.89	10.3	13.8	-3.49

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phillip Wheeler	27	28	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.04	-1	-17	16	13.3	13.5	-0.23	14.6	12.2	2.38
Jalen Hood-Schifino	58	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.24	5	-23	28	12.4	14.6	-2.18	14.2	11.2	3.04
Marcus Bagley	54	56	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-15	12	13.7	13.3	0.39	13.9	11.8	2.08
Alex Reese	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-17	16	12.7	14.1	-1.41	14.1	11.9	2.22
Lonnie Walker IV	84	85	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	0.03	-11	-7	-4	13.7	12.7	1.02	12.3	14.6	-2.33
Adem Bona	63	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.16	-17	-1	-16	14.1	12.7	1.41	11.9	14.1	-2.22
Jared Butler	64	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.15	-17	-1	-16	13.9	12.8	1.10	11.7	14.5	-2.87
Justin Edwards	67	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.07	-21	3	-24	13.4	13.5	-0.09	12.1	13.8	-1.71
Ricky Council IV	82	81	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.14	-24	6	-30	13.5	13.2	0.33	12.6	13.6	-1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.27,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
DEN 91, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
NYK 122, IND 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0	94.5%