NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	122		Excitement	4.7 [888]		MVP	David Lee (NYK): +12.1%
Indiana Pacers	113		Comeback	1.4 [450]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): -10.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.02	-0.03	15	59%	0.16	2	-0.03	9	78%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.00	-0.01	11	68%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09	0.05	0.01	-0.02	13	53%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Nate Robinson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.03	10	58%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	65%	0.07	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.04	26	60%	0.11	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	70%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.20	0.00	0.13	23	64%	0.09	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
Maceo Baston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	17	51%	0.09	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	15	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	18	39%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	27.6	15.5	26.4	2.3	31.4	127.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.6%

IND -1.6%

NYK +7.2%

NYK +1.3%

IND -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	IND	NBA	NYK	IND	NBA
this game	13.8	13.2	15.5	114.0	106.6	106.4
season	13.8	14.1		106.2	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.7	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.2	11.7	15.2	16.4	13.8
IND	14.5	14.6	11.5	12.4	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	33	33	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.00	14	-5	19	14.4	13.5	0.87	14.0	12.9	1.10
Nate Robinson	61	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-4	17	13.6	14.1	-0.48	13.1	13.5	-0.40
Al Harrington	81	80	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	3	3	13.4	14.9	-1.49	13.0	13.9	-0.85
Wilson Chandler	71	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.21	5	4	1	14.2	12.9	1.28	13.4	13.1	0.30
Tim Thomas	40	41	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	3	3	15.4	12.9	2.52	12.9	13.5	-0.64
Chris Duhon	85	83	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.28	-2	11	-13	13.9	13.5	0.37	12.7	15.2	-2.52
Quentin Richardson	55	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	7	-5	13.2	14.4	-1.19	13.6	12.9	0.74
David Lee	86	85	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	13	-17	13.9	13.3	0.57	13.1	13.9	-0.82
Jared Jeffries	23	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	4	1	11.3	14.5	-3.12	15.4	12.6	2.80

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	29	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.30	11	-20	31	10.3	14.4	-4.04	15.8	13.0	2.79
Rasho Nesterovic	10	11	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.01	1	-10	11	13.8	13.2	0.61	14.1	13.8	0.33
Travis Diener	20	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-12	15	12.2	13.5	-1.23	13.6	13.8	-0.26
Maceo Baston	17	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-9	9	13.4	13.2	0.13	12.6	14.0	-1.36
Roy Hibbert	7	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.05	-7	-2	-5	14.3	13.2	1.11	11.1	14.0	-2.89
Jarrett Jack	72	75	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.31	5	-14	19	12.7	14.4	-1.76	14.3	12.6	1.76
Jeff Foster	65	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-13	17	12.9	13.7	-0.79	14.0	13.5	0.54
Danny Granger	85	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	13.2	13.3	-0.11	13.6	14.5	-0.95
T.J. Ford	86	86	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	3	-15	13.5	12.2	1.23	13.7	14.1	-0.43
Troy Murphy	56	54	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.08	-21	12	-33	14.5	11.8	2.66	13.1	14.5	-1.49
Mike Dunleavy	83	82	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.01	-21	12	-33	14.0	10.5	3.48	13.7	14.0	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 112, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
SAC 116, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
LAC 85, DAL 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%