NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	85		Excitement	3.5 [1117]		MVP	Vin Baker (LAC): +8.1%
Dallas Mavericks	71		Comeback	1.1 [645]		LVP	Rawle Marshall (DAL): -15.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vin Baker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.03	5	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	9	70%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.00	-0.06	13	53%	0.10	3	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Daniel Ewing	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	79%	0.09	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Walter McCarty	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.11	0.00	0.10	7	86%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	13	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Boniface N'Dong	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	63%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	0.05	6	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Pavel Podkolzin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	2	30%	-0.02	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	12	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.01
Rawle Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.01	17	32%	-0.09	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.6	35.4	17.4	25.4	3.6	27.2	136.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +36.3%

LAC +10.1%

DAL -0.8%

LAC +2.4%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DAL	NBA	LAC	DAL	NBA
this game	16.3	16.6	15.6	97.7	80.7	104.4
season	15.2	16.4		103.9	109.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.4	15.0	16.4	16.5	16.3
DAL	16.1	17.8	16.3	16.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	55	55	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-4	22	15.6	17.5	-1.83	16.5	16.7	-0.20
Vin Baker	46	47	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-4	22	15.8	16.9	-1.03	16.9	16.3	0.63
Corey Maggette	50	49	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-2	18	15.5	17.4	-1.95	16.7	16.5	0.11
Walter McCarty	38	38	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.01	12	2	10	15.7	16.8	-1.02	16.5	16.7	-0.23
Quinton Ross	11	12	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	1	12	14.7	16.5	-1.81	19.1	16.2	2.87
James Singleton	54	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	10	-6	16.6	15.8	0.74	16.2	17.3	-1.13
Chris Kaman	49	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	12	-10	16.8	15.7	1.02	16.7	16.5	0.23
Cuttino Mobley	37	39	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	16	-18	17.4	15.5	1.95	16.5	16.7	-0.11
Boniface N'Dong	41	41	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	18	-22	16.9	15.8	1.03	16.3	16.9	-0.63
Shaun Livingston	32	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	18	-22	17.5	15.6	1.83	16.7	16.5	0.20

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	21	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-15	16	16.9	16.5	0.33	17.4	16.0	1.41
Jason Terry	21	20	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-15	16	16.9	16.5	0.33	17.4	16.0	1.41
Pavel Podkolzin	34	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.13	2	-16	18	15.4	17.4	-1.94	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Adrian Griffin	46	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-13	12	17.2	16.0	1.15	16.6	16.0	0.60
Josh Powell	81	79	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.19	-2	-12	10	16.2	20.9	-4.62	16.3	16.2	0.07
Jerry Stackhouse	22	22	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-3	-8	16.0	16.8	-0.86	16.1	16.4	-0.23
DeSagana Diop	71	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	-7	0	16.7	16.1	0.60	16.4	15.8	0.67
Erick Dampier	27	28	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	-2	-10	17.6	16.1	1.48	15.8	16.5	-0.72
Darrell Armstrong	11	11	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	1	-16	17.5	16.5	1.08	15.3	16.5	-1.19
DJ Mbenga	39	40	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-3	-8	16.8	16.4	0.35	16.1	16.5	-0.44
Rawle Marshall	67	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	1	-16	16.5	16.9	-0.33	16.0	17.4	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, NOH 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
BOS 112, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
NYK 104, WAS 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%