NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	104		Excitement	3.7 [1021]		MVP	Terry Davis (WAS): +5.9%
Washington Wizards	82		Comeback	1.3 [656]		LVP	Juwan Howard (WAS): -18.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	15	62%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00
John Starks	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	17	50%	0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Chris Childs	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mills	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	9	59%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	11	58%	0.07	5	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	71%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Buck Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
God Shammgod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	4	20%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	2	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.04
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	0.03	10	54%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	17	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.01	0.00	15	41%	-0.06	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.01	-0.02	16	31%	-0.12	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.7	28.0	15.4	29.4	0.2	10534.7	10634.2
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +52.9%

NYK +2.3%

NYK +6.0%

WAS -13.0%

NYK +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.5	15.6	108.3	86.3	102.5
season	15.7	15.1		100.4	102.8
opponent	15.6	16.3		102.2	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.3	12.0	17.0	16.4	14.7
WAS	16.0	17.3	15.0	13.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	76	76	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.21	26	-4	30	13.9	17.5	-3.58	16.0	13.6	2.39
Chris Mills	53	52	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.27	25	-3	28	15.4	13.7	1.71	15.1	16.0	-0.92
Chris Childs	39	38	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	7	8	15.0	14.4	0.56	16.0	15.1	0.89
Chris Dudley	36	35	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.18	19	3	16	15.6	14.1	1.47	15.6	15.4	0.21
John Starks	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.19	16	6	10	14.7	14.7	0.01	14.7	16.4	-1.66
Charles Oakley	43	43	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	20	-18	16.4	13.2	3.17	15.9	15.2	0.67
Allan Houston	52	51	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.10	1	21	-20	14.2	15.2	-0.91	16.0	14.9	1.09
Patrick Ewing	60	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.03	3	19	-16	14.1	15.6	-1.47	15.4	15.6	-0.21
Charlie Ward	57	57	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.10	7	15	-8	14.4	15.0	-0.56	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Buck Williams	12	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	26	-30	11.5	15.1	-3.62	14.1	15.7	-1.62

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
God Shammgod	6	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-16	10	9.3	15.9	-6.58	11.1	15.0	-3.86
Ben Wallace	6	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-16	10	9.3	15.9	-6.58	11.1	15.0	-3.86
Tracy Murray	42	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-17	12	13.3	17.2	-3.96	13.1	16.1	-2.97
Chris Whitney	27	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-15	8	12.1	16.9	-4.78	16.5	13.8	2.67
Darvin Ham	34	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-16	10	14.5	16.0	-1.55	17.0	13.2	3.84
Terry Davis	57	57	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-20	18	16.4	14.2	2.14	14.1	15.5	-1.43
Chris Webber	59	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-15	8	15.3	15.9	-0.63	15.9	12.6	3.28
Harvey Grant	17	15	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	-8	-6	18.5	14.8	3.70	11.2	15.3	-4.11
Rod Strickland	71	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.11	-16	-6	-10	16.6	12.1	4.51	13.9	16.7	-2.78
Juwan Howard	74	73	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.11	-18	-4	-14	16.2	12.9	3.39	15.2	13.0	2.25
Calbert Cheaney	82	79	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.11	-23	1	-24	16.4	10.1	6.28	14.8	14.1	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 112, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
LAC 85, DAL 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ORL 92, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.28,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%