NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	94		Excitement	3.5 [1124]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +14.5%
New Orleans Hornets	81		Comeback	1.3 [493]		LVP	Darrell Armstrong (NOH): -17.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.00	-0.03	9	83%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Brad Miller	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.15	-0.00	0.06	12	83%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	15	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Erik Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	62%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Darius Songaila	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	11	55%	0.02	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.20	-0.00	-0.08	9	15%	-0.08	4	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Freije	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	15	58%	0.03	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	4	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	13	31%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	17	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.04	7	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.01	-0.01	12	17%	-0.11	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	26.4	15.4	22.3	2.5	25.4	120.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +48.6%

SAC +10.4%

NOH -6.3%

NOH -3.2%

SAC +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOH	NBA	SAC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.3	17.4	15.5	105.6	93.1	104.0
season	14.7	16.5		108.1	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.2	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.9	14.0	16.7	15.8	15.3
NOH	17.9	19.6	16.8	15.5	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	33	31	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	3	7	15.1	15.5	-0.36	16.6	17.8	-1.23
Chris Webber	63	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	-5	23	15.3	15.3	0.00	18.4	14.8	3.61
Mike Bibby	61	60	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.20	19	-6	25	16.2	13.5	2.64	17.2	17.9	-0.65
Bobby Jackson	50	49	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	3	7	14.6	16.3	-1.66	17.7	17.0	0.76
Doug Christie	60	60	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	6	1	14.9	16.3	-1.38	18.0	16.0	1.98
Matt Barnes	18	17	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	4	5	14.4	15.6	-1.20	15.6	17.8	-2.25
Greg Ostertag	16	14	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	4	5	14.7	15.5	-0.73	15.4	17.8	-2.35
Peja Stojakovic	68	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	7	-1	15.5	14.7	0.83	18.1	15.0	3.05
Erik Daniels	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	17.0	15.2	1.75	10.2	17.7	-7.50
Maurice Evans	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	17.0	15.2	1.75	10.2	17.7	-7.50
Kevin Martin	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	19	-25	17.0	15.2	1.75	10.2	17.7	-7.50
Brad Miller	61	62	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	18	-23	15.5	15.0	0.46	17.7	16.7	1.01

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Freije	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-19	25	10.2	17.7	-7.50	17.0	15.2	1.75
Junior Harrington	40	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-14	15	16.4	18.2	-1.81	15.9	14.8	1.13
P.J. Brown	63	64	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-7	1	17.9	16.1	1.82	15.7	14.5	1.21
George Lynch	45	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-13	13	18.3	16.4	1.93	15.8	14.8	0.99
David Wesley	55	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	-3	-7	17.9	16.6	1.28	15.6	14.9	0.70
J.R. Smith	32	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-10	7	16.6	17.9	-1.28	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Chris Andersen	39	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.20	-4	-9	5	16.4	18.2	-1.80	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Lee Nailon	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	4	-21	16.6	18.4	-1.78	14.7	16.1	-1.34
Darrell Armstrong	47	46	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	1	-15	18.2	16.4	1.81	14.8	15.9	-1.13
David West	62	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.06	-18	5	-23	17.9	16.1	1.80	15.2	15.7	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 85, DAL 71	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
SAS 97, PHX 87	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.38,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
MIL 107, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%