NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	118		Excitement	4.6 [901]		MVP	Tyler Herro (MIA): +22.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	95		Comeback	1.4 [1082]		LVP	Kyle Anderson (MIA): -8.9%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Herro	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.22	0.06	0.06	17	81%	0.24	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.02
Alec Burks	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.03	0.04	13	77%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kel'el Ware	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.02	0.03	6	108%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Haywood Highsmith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.02	9	72%	0.10	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pelle Larsson	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	11	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Josh Christopher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stevens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keshad Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	8	33%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Bam Adebayo	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.04	14	48%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	11	27%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Butler	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.02	0.02	12	70%	0.13	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Ricky Council IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.01	-0.08	12	46%	0.07	2	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Adem Bona	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.02	0.03	9	89%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Phillip Wheeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Bagley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Edwards	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.09	10	77%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Hood-Schifino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	14	52%	0.01	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	26.1	15.4	22.2	1.8	22.3	116.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +13.5%

MIA +6.7%

MIA +13.1%

MIA +14.9%

MIA +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHI	NBA	MIA	PHI	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	14.4	126.9	102.2	113.0
season	15.0	15.0		111.5	110.4
opponent	14.2	14.6		116.8	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.3	15.6	16.0	17.3	16.3
PHI	14.4	12.6	16.8	15.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pelle Larsson	59	59	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.23	25	-2	27	15.2	18.1	-2.87	15.1	14.0	1.10
Bam Adebayo	54	55	0.50	0.00	0.50	-0.18	23	0	23	15.5	17.4	-1.88	15.4	13.7	1.72
Haywood Highsmith	64	66	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	5	13	16.3	16.2	0.04	14.5	15.1	-0.58
Davion Mitchell	62	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.14	18	5	13	16.2	16.4	-0.18	14.5	15.2	-0.79
Alec Burks	36	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	9	5	16.9	15.9	1.01	16.4	13.6	2.88
Terry Rozier	10	9	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	19	-15	13.0	16.7	-3.66	11.0	15.1	-4.10
Tyler Herro	64	64	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.05	2	21	-19	17.3	14.1	3.20	14.8	14.4	0.41
Kel'el Ware	58	57	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.08	1	22	-21	17.7	14.0	3.68	14.7	14.6	0.10
Kyle Anderson	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	21	-19	17.6	15.3	2.26	14.2	15.0	-0.78
Josh Christopher	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	12.4	16.5	-4.09	11.0	14.9	-3.87
Isaiah Stevens	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	12.4	16.5	-4.09	11.0	14.9	-3.87
Keshad Johnson	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	12.4	16.5	-4.09	11.0	14.9	-3.87
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	21	-19	12.4	16.5	-4.09	11.0	14.9	-3.87

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phillip Wheeler	11	11	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-23	23	17.1	14.4	2.71	16.3	16.3	0.00
Jared Butler	57	58	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-25	27	14.3	15.3	-0.99	17.1	14.9	2.17
Lonnie Walker IV	42	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.14	-9	-14	5	13.6	15.6	-1.93	15.9	16.6	-0.75
Jalen Hood-Schifino	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	-14	5	14.8	14.6	0.19	15.8	16.4	-0.64
Adem Bona	57	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-18	13	14.5	15.1	-0.58	16.7	15.5	1.21
Guerschon Yabusele	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.22	-17	-6	-11	15.6	13.4	2.15	16.9	15.4	1.48
Justin Edwards	66	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	-7	-9	15.3	13.1	2.24	17.3	13.6	3.72
Ricky Council IV	53	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.16	-17	-6	-11	14.4	15.1	-0.70	16.1	16.5	-0.42
Marcus Bagley	38	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.19	-22	-1	-21	13.9	15.3	-1.40	14.1	17.7	-3.59
Quentin Grimes	60	59	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.14	-22	-1	-21	14.8	14.5	0.28	15.3	18.0	-2.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.38,0.22,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
GSW 118, DEN 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.35,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
CHI 125, BKN 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.1%