NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	4.5 [920]		MVP	Terrence Ross (TOR): +11.9%
Denver Nuggets	90		Comeback	1.2 [662]		LVP	Randy Foye (DEN): -19.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terrence Ross	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.11	0.01	-0.01	10	78%	0.14	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Tyler Hansbrough	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	82%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.06	0.02	-0.09	17	45%	0.09	3	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Patrick Patterson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	15	43%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Greivis Vasquez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quincy Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	64%	0.03	2	-0.01	8	50%	-0.05
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.03	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	10	60%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	20	44%	0.03	7	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.19	-0.03	-0.03	13	37%	-0.03	8	-0.17	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.5	15.5	24.4	2.4	26.4	121.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +20.1%

TOR +14.1%

DEN -5.9%

TOR +22.4%

DEN -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	DEN	NBA	TOR	DEN	NBA
this game	15.5	13.1	15.1	99.0	90.0	105.2
season	15.9	14.0		107.2	104.5
opponent	14.9	15.1		106.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.2	15.7	13.6	18.0	15.5
DEN	14.2	12.5	12.5	13.3	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	53	51	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-6	22	15.3	15.8	-0.53	12.4	13.8	-1.42
Patrick Patterson	52	50	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	-8	26	15.0	16.1	-1.06	13.3	12.9	0.34
Kyle Lowry	67	66	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	-5	20	14.9	16.7	-1.81	12.7	13.9	-1.26
Terrence Ross	77	77	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	9	-8	15.3	16.4	-1.16	13.3	12.4	0.93
DeMar DeRozan	67	67	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	5	0	15.8	14.9	0.89	13.6	12.1	1.57
Tyler Hansbrough	26	27	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.02	5	5	0	16.2	15.3	0.89	13.6	12.9	0.71
Amir Johnson	40	39	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	13	-16	14.9	16.0	-1.09	12.4	13.6	-1.15
Charles Hayes	26	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	14	-18	16.5	15.2	1.30	12.3	13.4	-1.08
Jonas Valanciunas	58	60	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	6	-2	15.7	15.3	0.45	13.5	12.5	1.02
Greivis Vasquez	39	39	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.26	-7	17	-24	16.9	14.6	2.30	13.4	12.9	0.53

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Randolph	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.22	-9	-1	-8	16.3	12.8	3.54	14.1	15.7	-1.59
JJ Hickson	62	62	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.48	13	-23	36	13.0	13.4	-0.42	16.2	14.5	1.66
Kenneth Faried	65	65	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.48	12	-22	34	13.2	12.9	0.30	16.6	13.7	2.86
Quincy Miller	31	32	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-6	2	11.9	13.7	-1.80	17.1	14.8	2.28
Evan Fournier	80	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-11	12	13.3	12.4	0.89	15.6	15.2	0.43
Wilson Chandler	72	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.03	-9	-1	-8	13.9	11.1	2.73	15.1	16.7	-1.62
Jordan Hamilton	23	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	3	-16	11.9	13.5	-1.61	14.0	16.0	-2.07
Darrell Arthur	28	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	3	-16	11.5	13.7	-2.29	13.8	16.3	-2.42
Randy Foye	91	91	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.22	-5	-5	0	13.2	12.6	0.61	15.7	14.2	1.48
Timofey Mozgov	38	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.27	-23	13	-36	13.4	13.0	0.42	14.5	16.2	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 90, GSW 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0,0	95.6%
TOR 94, HOU 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CLE 105, NOH 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.5%