inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 114 Excitement8.7 [203] MVPQuinten Post (GSW): +26.0%
Golden State Warriors 117 Comeback3.4 [801] LVPJimmy Butler III (GSW): -22.0%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scottie Barnes0.170,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.170.130.070.031672%0.263-0.09875%-0.01
Jakob Poeltl0.130,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.020.01990%0.212-0.092100%0.01
Jamison Battle0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.030.011258%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Ochai Agbaji0.030,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.02-0.02675%0.092-0.0600%0.00
Colin Castleton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00458%0.041-0.03475%0.00
Garrett Temple-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
A.J. Lawson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jonathan Mogbo-0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.010.00545%0.023-0.071100%0.00
Immanuel Quickley-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.01-0.10-0.001757%0.075-0.18367%-0.02
Jamal Shead-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.21-0.01-0.180.02773%0.065-0.271100%0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Quinten Post0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.260.260.180.090.011090%0.2600.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.050.00881%0.213-0.08560%-0.01
Kevon Looney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.020.080.00167%0.1100.0010%-0.01
Buddy Hield0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.010.060.01462%0.112-0.055100%0.04
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,00.000.05-0.030.031454%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gui Santos00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.020.001552%0.052-0.071100%0.00
Draymond Green0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.030.021855%0.094-0.132100%0.01
Moses Moody0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01529%-0.041-0.024100%0.04
Jimmy Butler III0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.2,-0.21,-0.22-0.22-0.07-0.16-0.021540%-0.152-0.071070%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.32.525.414.629.52.438.5143.2
league avg25.92.328.214.928.62.332.2135.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR -33.4%
GSW +16.8%
GSW +25.2%
GSW +39.1%
GSW +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORGSWNBATORGSWNBA
this game12.115.414.4109.6111.4113.0
season13.914.5109.0112.9
opponent14.514.6110.5113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR11.613.511.611.812.1
GSW15.514.715.116.515.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jonathan Mogbo62610.02-0.520.53-0.011-4512.012.2-0.1614.916.2-1.26
Garrett Temple109-0.01-0.490.480.02-1-2116.011.74.3216.415.41.09
A.J. Lawson2122-0.04-0.460.42-0.040-3311.412.3-0.8416.815.11.68
Jakob Poeltl6162-0.10-0.400.30-0.193-6912.012.3-0.2715.315.7-0.42
Jamal Shead6059-0.14-0.360.22-0.326-91511.213.3-2.1215.116.0-0.91
Scottie Barnes7376-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.36-1-2111.812.9-1.1015.615.00.67
Colin Castleton4040-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.18-85-1312.511.80.7415.615.30.29
Immanuel Quickley6871-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.35-2-1-111.812.7-0.8715.415.6-0.21
Jamison Battle7170-0.42-0.07-0.35-0.37-2-1-112.511.21.3415.615.10.50
Ochai Agbaji5455-0.580.08-0.66-0.26-118-1912.811.41.3815.515.40.01

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandin Podziemski77770.59-0.090.690.397-41115.415.6-0.1711.912.7-0.77
Jimmy Butler III79790.51-0.010.520.365-2715.614.90.7012.012.3-0.24
Moses Moody59610.480.020.460.364-1514.716.3-1.6012.611.31.27
Jonathan Kuminga54530.400.100.300.46-25-716.114.81.2511.812.4-0.50
Kevon Looney20190.280.220.050.164-1515.415.40.0012.112.10.01
Buddy Hield43410.230.27-0.040.037-41115.515.40.1111.912.2-0.28
Draymond Green70690.210.29-0.090.35-58-1315.415.5-0.0611.912.4-0.50
Quinten Post45440.190.31-0.120.045-2716.314.81.4313.011.41.61
Gui Santos2222-0.160.66-0.83-0.08-36-914.615.7-1.0812.012.1-0.12
Stephen Curry5655-0.220.72-0.95-0.02-710-1715.115.9-0.8111.712.5-0.74


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.75,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.45,0.6,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.92,1
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 81, LAL 870.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.99,192.9%
SAC 112, TOR 1180.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,192.1%
WAS 94, CLE 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.98,191.9%