NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	81		Excitement	7.2 [341]		MVP	Sasha Vujacic (LAL): +32.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	87		Comeback	2.0 [803]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -28.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.19	0.06	0.00	13	78%	0.28	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
James Posey	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.01	3	75%	0.11	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Kendrick Perkins	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	73%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Sam Cassell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Eddie House	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	8	37%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	4	30%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19	-0.18	-0.03	-0.02	21	30%	-0.13	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.25,-0.25,-0.29,-0.29	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	14	19%	-0.16	3	-0.13	3	67%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.17	0.15	0.00	10	83%	0.32	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	20	62%	0.26	3	-0.08	18	61%	-0.08
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.01	-0.01	9	35%	-0.01	3	-0.08	8	37%	-0.06
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.18	-0.12	-0.03	9	22%	-0.11	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	3.6	36.0	20.8	30.0	3.6	41.4	167.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.7%

BOS -6.9%

LAL +5.8%

LAL +1.4%

BOS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	17.4	14.9	15.4	91.0	97.8	105.7
season	15.6	14.6		108.0	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.9		104.1	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.6	18.3	19.4	16.8	17.4
LAL	13.2	16.8	14.9	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	53	52	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.09	6	-12	18	17.2	17.8	-0.57	15.3	14.4	0.88
Eddie House	36	36	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.15	7	-13	20	17.4	17.5	-0.13	15.0	14.8	0.18
James Posey	46	46	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-9	12	18.3	16.5	1.84	14.5	15.4	-0.96
Leon Powe	11	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.00	-4	-2	-2	21.2	16.9	4.27	13.7	15.1	-1.36
Sam Cassell	13	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-2	-2	20.1	17.0	3.09	13.5	15.1	-1.64
Kevin Garnett	78	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-4	2	16.9	21.2	-4.27	15.1	13.7	1.36
Rajon Rondo	42	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.21	-9	3	-12	16.5	18.3	-1.73	15.2	14.6	0.60
Paul Pierce	59	60	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	-1	-4	16.3	19.7	-3.46	15.0	14.8	0.19
Ray Allen	76	76	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	3	-12	17.5	17.0	0.51	15.1	13.7	1.44
P.J. Brown	31	33	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	7	-20	18.8	16.7	2.05	14.4	15.2	-0.84

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	51	50	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.33	15	-9	24	15.2	14.6	0.64	17.6	17.2	0.41
Luke Walton	21	18	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.11	12	-6	18	16.3	14.5	1.79	18.4	17.2	1.26
Kobe Bryant	84	85	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.33	2	4	-2	15.0	13.8	1.19	17.2	23.0	-5.82
Pau Gasol	74	74	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	7	-8	15.2	13.7	1.43	17.0	19.7	-2.76
Derek Fisher	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	9	-12	15.0	14.7	0.29	16.0	19.7	-3.66
Jordan Farmar	35	36	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	-3	12	14.7	15.0	-0.29	19.2	16.2	3.00
Lamar Odom	53	54	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.16	-1	7	-8	14.9	14.9	0.05	17.2	17.8	-0.60
Vladimir Radmanovic	25	26	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	5	-4	13.8	15.4	-1.56	16.1	18.0	-1.92
Ronny Turiaf	32	33	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	4	-2	15.2	14.8	0.37	19.1	16.4	2.67
Trevor Ariza	16	15	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.04	-6	12	-18	12.0	15.6	-3.56	19.8	17.0	2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,1	92.7%
MIN 78, POR 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.68,0.97,1	92.1%
TOR 100, LAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.96,1	92.0%