NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	87		Excitement	6.8 [482]		MVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): +12.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	2.6 [398]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -21.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio McDyess	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	9	57%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	41%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	21	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Carlos Delfino	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	0.08	4	-0.15	8	87%	0.04
Chauncey Billups	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.22	-0.03	-0.17	0.01	16	55%	-0.00	5	-0.21	10	90%	0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.00	7	81%	0.24	4	-0.11	12	100%	0.10
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	0.01	19	53%	0.19	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.05
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.05	0.01	14	59%	0.13	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	7	36%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	4.5	35.3	20.7	29.8	2.8	48.3	165.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +36.9%

CLE +1.9%

DET -10.4%

CLE +11.5%

CLE +10.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CLE	NBA	DET	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	16.7	15.4	97.8	101.1	104.5
season	16.8	16.0		106.1	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.7	15.0	15.1	15.1	15.5
CLE	16.8	15.0	17.6	17.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	13	16	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.01	3	-7	10	13.4	15.8	-2.44	16.7	16.7	-0.02
Chris Webber	36	38	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-7	10	15.6	15.4	0.14	17.7	16.0	1.66
Carlos Delfino	5	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-1	-2	15.6	15.5	0.14	16.5	16.7	-0.21
Ronald Murray	14	14	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	0	-4	15.9	15.4	0.46	13.9	17.2	-3.28
Jason Maxiell	21	22	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	7	-18	15.0	15.6	-0.62	17.4	16.5	0.94
Antonio McDyess	45	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-5	6	15.4	15.5	-0.15	16.4	17.0	-0.52
Chauncey Billups	83	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-6	8	15.5	15.2	0.33	16.9	14.2	2.71
Tayshaun Prince	84	86	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-3	2	15.5	15.6	-0.14	16.7	16.5	0.21
Rasheed Wallace	76	75	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-3	2	15.6	14.7	0.91	16.4	18.3	-1.96
Richard Hamilton	68	67	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	5	-14	15.8	14.5	1.24	16.8	16.3	0.47

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	60	60	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.41	7	-3	10	17.3	15.5	1.85	15.8	14.7	1.16
Daniel Gibson	67	67	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.36	6	-2	8	15.8	19.3	-3.56	15.2	16.3	-1.12
Sasha Pavlovic	72	73	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	3	-2	17.1	15.1	2.06	16.0	13.1	2.94
Drew Gooden	60	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	7	-10	16.3	17.5	-1.20	15.9	14.5	1.42
LeBron James	83	81	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.42	-4	8	-12	16.8	15.4	1.38	15.5	15.5	-0.03
Larry Hughes	30	30	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	-2	8	18.4	15.8	2.60	16.1	15.2	0.95
Anderson Varejao	38	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	-2	8	15.9	17.2	-1.30	14.7	16.0	-1.30
Eric Snow	4	3	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	4	-4	4.2	17.3	-13.03	10.0	15.7	-5.66
Damon Jones	15	13	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.03	4	0	4	17.0	16.6	0.36	13.8	15.8	-1.99
Donyell Marshall	21	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	7	-10	18.2	16.2	1.94	14.3	15.8	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 81, LAL 87	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.84,0.78,0.99,1	92.7%
WAS 94, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	92.6%
SAC 112, TOR 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,1	92.1%