inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 94 Excitement8.3 [202] MVPTracy Murray (WAS): +14.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers 96 Comeback2.4 [518] LVPMitch Richmond (WAS): -33.5%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy Murray0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.150.060.08-0.00967%0.171-0.0300%0.00
Jahidi White0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.04-0.00967%0.142-0.07667%-0.03
Reggie Jordan0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gerard King-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Smith-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.01867%0.063-0.072100%0.01
Chris Whitney-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.0130%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.00731%-0.0800.00250%-0.01
Ike Austin-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.04-0.04-0.00550%-0.032-0.0520%-0.07
Juwan Howard-0.100,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.040.00856%0.034-0.122100%0.01
Aaron Williams-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.10-0.10-0.0040%-0.082-0.1200%0.00
Rod Strickland-0.230,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23-0.07-0.160.001553%-0.084-0.16850%-0.05
Mitch Richmond-0.330,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33-0.12-0.220.001341%-0.163-0.17683%0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.050.10-0.00771%0.161-0.0200%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.050.00967%0.1200.0000%0.00
Shawn Kemp0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.010.010.03-0.02-0.002260%0.123-0.111479%0.02
Cedric Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.03-0.01933%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mark Hendrickson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mark Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00337%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Wesley Person0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.06-0.00744%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Lamond Murray0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1-0.10-0.04-0.050.001350%-0.012-0.08425%-0.09
Bob Sura0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.13-0.090.001132%-0.084-0.1400%0.00
Brevin Knight0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22-0.22-0.12-0.11-0.01312%-0.073-0.15250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.01.630.515.624.51.734.9136.0
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +22.8%
WAS -14.1%
CLE +8.0%
CLE +29.6%
CLE +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCLENBAWASCLENBA
this game15.614.115.296.999.0101.7
season15.514.1101.198.0
opponent15.314.8101.5104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.218.513.015.115.6
CLE12.215.014.215.514.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jahidi White59610.04-0.540.58-0.239-112014.517.3-2.8115.012.62.38
Reggie Jordan44-0.03-0.470.44-0.030-2217.715.52.2914.514.10.38
Gerard King32-0.05-0.450.390.00-20-220.315.44.9314.514.10.37
Chris Whitney2424-0.06-0.440.38-0.00-20-217.115.02.0815.713.62.04
Juwan Howard7070-0.08-0.420.35-0.349-112014.817.6-2.8714.014.4-0.33
Mitch Richmond5858-0.12-0.380.26-0.182-4615.016.4-1.4314.913.01.85
Aaron Williams3132-0.15-0.350.190.02-64-1017.814.53.2614.513.90.59
Michael Smith6663-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.321-3414.517.8-3.2614.114.1-0.02
Richard Hamilton3535-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.23-42-616.315.21.1012.914.9-2.00
Rod Strickland7373-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.440-2215.017.1-2.0813.615.7-2.04
Tracy Murray2729-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.25-86-1417.614.82.8713.914.2-0.29
Ike Austin3534-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.22-97-1617.014.72.2612.515.0-2.47

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brevin Knight50500.76-0.261.020.538-61413.814.5-0.6514.716.5-1.81
Cedric Henderson32310.72-0.220.940.459-71615.413.51.8517.814.53.31
Wesley Person50500.64-0.140.770.495-3814.613.70.8816.714.32.36
Andrew DeClercq58590.52-0.020.550.443-1414.214.00.1815.615.60.01
Shawn Kemp81800.470.030.440.4120214.412.81.5815.217.1-1.82
Mark Hendrickson120.020.48-0.460.0202-218.014.13.9124.015.48.62
Mark Bryant5453-0.010.51-0.520.02-13-413.614.8-1.2215.715.40.35
Lamond Murray5860-0.160.66-0.81-0.01-57-1213.415.3-1.8814.517.3-2.81
Bob Sura5453-0.200.70-0.89-0.05-57-1213.814.5-0.7214.417.0-2.60
Andre Miller4747-0.260.76-1.02-0.09-68-1414.513.80.6516.514.71.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 112, TOR 1180.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,193.3%
CHI 85, PHX 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.96,192.8%
DET 87, CLE 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.41,0.71,0.82,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.92,192.6%