NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	85		Excitement	7.2 [358]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +18.7%
Phoenix Suns	89		Comeback	1.5 [546]		LVP	Dennis Rodman (CHI): -24.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.19	0.06	0.10	-0.02	10	60%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rusty LaRue	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.13	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Kleine	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Scott Burrell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	13	46%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.07	-0.04	-0.07	-0.04	27	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Randy Brown	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	16	44%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	-0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.24	-0.08	-0.16	-0.00	4	40%	-0.16	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.12	-0.02	7	80%	0.25	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.05
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.07	0.00	7	81%	0.17	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	16	59%	0.11	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	2	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	7	-0.21	6	100%	0.06
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.12	0.01	11	33%	-0.16	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	1.7	30.0	15.6	23.4	2.6	33.0	132.5
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +15.1%

PHX +33.8%

PHX +3.6%

CHI -3.9%

PHX +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	17.8	16.1	15.6	98.8	106.0	102.5
season	16.2	15.0		105.8	105.3
opponent	15.9	15.8		100.0	97.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.8	18.5	16.0	19.9	17.8
PHX	15.9	15.0	17.5	16.1	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Rodman	72	69	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-7	10	17.3	19.9	-2.60	15.9	16.9	-0.92
Scott Burrell	8	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.10	-1	-3	2	20.0	17.5	2.47	17.7	16.0	1.75
Jason Caffey	25	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	4	-12	17.6	17.8	-0.22	18.0	15.3	2.64
Luc Longley	58	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.21	1	-5	6	16.9	19.5	-2.53	16.0	16.3	-0.33
Toni Kukoc	47	46	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-10	16	17.5	18.1	-0.54	15.3	17.1	-1.87
Joe Kleine	9	9	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.07	-5	1	-6	21.1	17.4	3.75	17.1	16.0	1.12
Ron Harper	62	63	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.26	1	-5	6	17.5	18.4	-0.86	16.3	15.6	0.71
Michael Jordan	73	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.37	4	-8	12	17.3	20.2	-2.83	16.1	16.2	-0.07
Jud Buechler	24	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.01	-10	6	-16	18.2	17.6	0.57	15.5	16.3	-0.82
Randy Brown	29	27	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.06	-10	6	-16	18.7	17.3	1.36	16.4	16.0	0.44
Rusty LaRue	23	23	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-3	2	20.2	16.9	3.30	15.4	16.4	-0.93

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Johnson	54	57	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-7	18	15.6	17.0	-1.44	18.4	16.5	1.92
Hot Rod Williams	56	56	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.51	1	3	-2	16.7	14.8	1.93	18.0	17.2	0.80
Clifford Robinson	28	29	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-10	24	15.9	16.2	-0.38	19.2	17.0	2.19
Mark Bryant	30	30	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-5	14	16.2	16.1	0.09	20.4	16.3	4.11
Jason Kidd	72	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	1	2	15.7	18.8	-3.18	17.5	19.4	-1.93
Steve Nash	14	17	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.02	8	-4	12	16.6	16.0	0.56	20.4	17.1	3.24
Danny Manning	62	63	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.31	-8	12	-20	16.1	16.2	-0.16	16.9	20.1	-3.24
Antonio McDyess	51	50	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	10	-16	16.5	15.6	0.88	17.3	18.4	-1.18
Rex Chapman	53	54	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.11	-12	16	-28	16.3	15.8	0.43	15.5	21.5	-5.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 112, TOR 118	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,1	93.3%
MIL 111, CHH 117	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	92.8%
WAS 94, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	92.8%