NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	112		Excitement	8.5 [177]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +39.8%
Toronto Raptors	118		Comeback	1.6 [835]		LVP	Jermaine Taylor (SAC): -15.5%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.13	0.08	0.00	13	61%	0.20	0	0.00	10	80%	0.04
Beno Udrih	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.02	17	62%	0.17	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.04
Jason Thompson	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	12	59%	0.09	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
DeMarcus Cousins	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.07	0.00	14	58%	0.16	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omri Casspi	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.04	0.00	11	37%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Pooh Jeter	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jermaine Taylor	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	8	25%	-0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.19	0.23	0.02	19	70%	0.42	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.31	0.31	0.10	0.21	-0.00	11	75%	0.38	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	20	65%	0.22	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	3	100%	0.13	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	62%	0.12	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.03
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jose Calderon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	11	52%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.6	29.8	17.8	29.1	2.3	39.7	149.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +92.8%

SAC -19.6%

TOR +1.2%

SAC -27.6%

TOR +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	TOR	NBA	SAC	TOR	NBA
this game	14.7	13.8	15.5	109.8	118.0	105.7
season	14.9	15.1		102.1	104.7
opponent	15.5	14.9		111.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.8	13.9	15.9	14.6	14.7
TOR	14.6	13.8	13.6	13.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	58	56	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.06	5	-11	16	15.3	14.0	1.23	14.7	12.6	2.09
Jermaine Taylor	42	42	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-7	8	16.2	13.7	2.46	14.5	13.3	1.19
Samuel Dalembert	21	21	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-7	8	11.7	15.5	-3.88	13.6	13.8	-0.18
Luther Head	1	0	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-4	2	0.0	14.9	-14.89	0.0	13.8	-13.76
Donte Greene	1	0	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-4	2	0.0	14.9	-14.89	0.0	13.8	-13.76
Pooh Jeter	34	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-2	-2	14.4	14.9	-0.59	12.6	14.4	-1.88
Beno Udrih	92	90	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-4	2	15.2	10.5	4.71	14.1	11.1	2.96
Francisco Garcia	83	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	14.6	15.6	-1.02	14.1	12.4	1.75
DeMarcus Cousins	57	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.33	-7	1	-8	16.3	12.8	3.48	14.3	13.1	1.21
Omri Casspi	56	55	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.35	-7	1	-8	13.4	16.4	-3.00	12.7	15.0	-2.29
Carl Landry	65	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.33	-9	3	-12	14.4	15.4	-0.95	12.8	15.5	-2.72

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrea Bargnani	80	81	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.27	13	-7	20	13.6	14.5	-0.99	15.3	12.7	2.56
DeMar DeRozan	81	85	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-4	14	13.5	14.9	-1.40	15.1	13.1	2.02
Leandro Barbosa	60	61	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.35	7	-1	8	13.4	14.3	-0.98	14.3	15.3	-1.00
Jose Calderon	66	69	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	3	0	14.2	12.9	1.24	14.9	14.3	0.61
Amir Johnson	52	53	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.18	2	4	-2	13.5	14.1	-0.58	13.6	16.0	-2.45
Joey Dorsey	34	35	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	7	-8	15.4	12.9	2.46	17.3	13.4	3.82
Jerryd Bayless	34	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	3	0	12.9	14.2	-1.24	14.3	14.9	-0.61
Ed Davis	34	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	7	-8	13.0	14.1	-1.11	13.4	15.4	-1.95
Julian Wright	9	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.06	-3	9	-12	14.8	13.7	1.12	15.1	14.7	0.40
Linas Kleiza	50	51	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	9	-12	14.5	13.0	1.44	14.1	15.4	-1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 85, PHX 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.78,0.86,0.96,0.96,0.96,1	93.3%
WAS 94, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.43,0.51,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.91,0.98,1	93.3%
TOR 100, LAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.69,0.96,1	93.1%